Current ensemble forecasts from global models place Istanbul's peak temperature on August 18 near 29–31 °C under mostly sunny conditions and light northerly flow, producing the tightly clustered market probabilities around those outcomes. Historical August averages of 27–28 °C provide a baseline, but day-to-day variability stems from the strength of the Etesian winds, cloud cover, and Black Sea moisture advection that can shift maximum readings by 2–3 °C. With resolution only 48 hours away, updated model runs and local observations will narrow the spread before the market settles.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 18?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 18?
30°C 37%
31°C 22%
29°C 22%
28°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 18, 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
8%
28°C
11%
29°C
22%
30°C
27%
31°C
22%
32°C
6%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
4%
30°C 37%
31°C 22%
29°C 22%
28°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 18, 2026
24°C or below
$0 KL.
1%
25°C
$0 KL.
2%
26°C
$5 KL.
4%
27°C
$15 KL.
8%
28°C
$0 KL.
11%
29°C
$0 KL.
22%
30°C
$3 KL.
27%
31°C
$0 KL.
22%
32°C
$0 KL.
6%
33°C
$25 KL.
4%
34°C or higher
$5 KL.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from global models place Istanbul's peak temperature on August 18 near 29–31 °C under mostly sunny conditions and light northerly flow, producing the tightly clustered market probabilities around those outcomes. Historical August averages of 27–28 °C provide a baseline, but day-to-day variability stems from the strength of the Etesian winds, cloud cover, and Black Sea moisture advection that can shift maximum readings by 2–3 °C. With resolution only 48 hours away, updated model runs and local observations will narrow the spread before the market settles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$29Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from global models place Istanbul's peak temperature on August 18 near 29–31 °C under mostly sunny conditions and light northerly flow, producing the tightly clustered market probabilities around those outcomes. Historical August averages of 27–28 °C provide a baseline, but day-to-day variability stems from the strength of the Etesian winds, cloud cover, and Black Sea moisture advection that can shift maximum readings by 2–3 °C. With resolution only 48 hours away, updated model runs and local observations will narrow the spread before the market settles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$29Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from global models place Istanbul's peak temperature on August 18 near 29–31 °C under mostly sunny conditions and light northerly flow, producing the tightly clustered market probabilities around those outcomes. Historical August averages of 27–28 °C provide a baseline, but day-to-day variability stems from the strength of the Etesian winds, cloud cover, and Black Sea moisture advection that can shift maximum readings by 2–3 °C. With resolution only 48 hours away, updated model runs and local observations will narrow the spread before the market settles.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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