Recent weather model consensus from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather points to a daily maximum near 18°C for Cape Town on August 18, 2026, amid post-cold-front stabilization in the region’s Mediterranean winter climate. Primary drivers include moderate Atlantic sea-surface temperatures that limit rapid warming, persistent cloud cover reducing solar insolation, and light to moderate winds that moderate diurnal temperature swings. Ensemble spread in short-range forecasts creates the tight clustering around 18–20°C outcomes, with slight upside potential if clearer skies develop or downsides if additional moisture arrives. Historical August maxima average 17–18°C, providing context for the market-implied probabilities as trader assessment of forecast uncertainty rather than fixed expectation. Updated model runs and South African Weather Service briefings over the next 48 hours will refine resolution thresholds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 18?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on August 18?
19°C 28%
20°C 23%
18°C 23%
17°C 15%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 18, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
13%
17°C
15%
18°C
23%
19°C
28%
20°C
23%
21°C
14%
22°C
10%
23°C or higher
1%
19°C 28%
20°C 23%
18°C 23%
17°C 15%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 18, 2026
13°C or below
$0 KL.
<1%
14°C
$0 KL.
<1%
15°C
$0 KL.
1%
16°C
$0 KL.
13%
17°C
$0 KL.
15%
18°C
$0 KL.
23%
19°C
$0 KL.
28%
20°C
$0 KL.
23%
21°C
$0 KL.
14%
22°C
$5 KL.
10%
23°C or higher
$0 KL.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather points to a daily maximum near 18°C for Cape Town on August 18, 2026, amid post-cold-front stabilization in the region’s Mediterranean winter climate. Primary drivers include moderate Atlantic sea-surface temperatures that limit rapid warming, persistent cloud cover reducing solar insolation, and light to moderate winds that moderate diurnal temperature swings. Ensemble spread in short-range forecasts creates the tight clustering around 18–20°C outcomes, with slight upside potential if clearer skies develop or downsides if additional moisture arrives. Historical August maxima average 17–18°C, providing context for the market-implied probabilities as trader assessment of forecast uncertainty rather than fixed expectation. Updated model runs and South African Weather Service briefings over the next 48 hours will refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather points to a daily maximum near 18°C for Cape Town on August 18, 2026, amid post-cold-front stabilization in the region’s Mediterranean winter climate. Primary drivers include moderate Atlantic sea-surface temperatures that limit rapid warming, persistent cloud cover reducing solar insolation, and light to moderate winds that moderate diurnal temperature swings. Ensemble spread in short-range forecasts creates the tight clustering around 18–20°C outcomes, with slight upside potential if clearer skies develop or downsides if additional moisture arrives. Historical August maxima average 17–18°C, providing context for the market-implied probabilities as trader assessment of forecast uncertainty rather than fixed expectation. Updated model runs and South African Weather Service briefings over the next 48 hours will refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather model consensus from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather points to a daily maximum near 18°C for Cape Town on August 18, 2026, amid post-cold-front stabilization in the region’s Mediterranean winter climate. Primary drivers include moderate Atlantic sea-surface temperatures that limit rapid warming, persistent cloud cover reducing solar insolation, and light to moderate winds that moderate diurnal temperature swings. Ensemble spread in short-range forecasts creates the tight clustering around 18–20°C outcomes, with slight upside potential if clearer skies develop or downsides if additional moisture arrives. Historical August maxima average 17–18°C, providing context for the market-implied probabilities as trader assessment of forecast uncertainty rather than fixed expectation. Updated model runs and South African Weather Service briefings over the next 48 hours will refine resolution thresholds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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