**Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) for Taipei on August 17, 2026, project a daytime high of 35°C (95°F) under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with only a 20% chance of afternoon thundershowers.** This aligns closely with the market's near-even split between the 35°C (42.5%) and 36°C (39.0%) outcomes, reflecting trader uncertainty over small forecast variations. Late-summer subtropical conditions—high solar insolation, elevated humidity, and weak steering winds—support intense daytime heating in the urban heat island, where concrete and asphalt amplify temperatures. However, any earlier or more widespread cloud cover or scattered showers could limit peak readings to 35°C by reducing incoming radiation and promoting evaporative cooling. Model consensus and historical August baselines (typical highs 32–34°C, occasionally reaching 36°C) reinforce this narrow band, with the low-probability tails for 34°C or 37°C+ highlighting the limited but real scope for deviation from updated model runs or real-time observations before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Taipei on August 17?
Highest temperature in Taipei on August 17?
35°C 43%
36°C 39%
34°C 11%
37°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 17, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
11%
35°C
43%
36°C
39%
37°C
8%
38°C or higher
<1%
35°C 43%
36°C 39%
34°C 11%
37°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 17, 2026
28°C or below
$210 KL.
<1%
29°C
$210 KL.
<1%
30°C
$156 KL.
<1%
31°C
$743 KL.
1%
32°C
$604 KL.
1%
33°C
$1,020 KL.
1%
34°C
$653 KL.
11%
35°C
$1,097 KL.
43%
36°C
$1,137 KL.
39%
37°C
$801 KL.
8%
38°C or higher
$1,177 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) for Taipei on August 17, 2026, project a daytime high of 35°C (95°F) under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with only a 20% chance of afternoon thundershowers.** This aligns closely with the market's near-even split between the 35°C (42.5%) and 36°C (39.0%) outcomes, reflecting trader uncertainty over small forecast variations.
Late-summer subtropical conditions—high solar insolation, elevated humidity, and weak steering winds—support intense daytime heating in the urban heat island, where concrete and asphalt amplify temperatures. However, any earlier or more widespread cloud cover or scattered showers could limit peak readings to 35°C by reducing incoming radiation and promoting evaporative cooling. Model consensus and historical August baselines (typical highs 32–34°C, occasionally reaching 36°C) reinforce this narrow band, with the low-probability tails for 34°C or 37°C+ highlighting the limited but real scope for deviation from updated model runs or real-time observations before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ET
Khối lượng
$6,847Ngày kết thúc
Aug 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) for Taipei on August 17, 2026, project a daytime high of 35°C (95°F) under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with only a 20% chance of afternoon thundershowers.** This aligns closely with the market's near-even split between the 35°C (42.5%) and 36°C (39.0%) outcomes, reflecting trader uncertainty over small forecast variations.
Late-summer subtropical conditions—high solar insolation, elevated humidity, and weak steering winds—support intense daytime heating in the urban heat island, where concrete and asphalt amplify temperatures. However, any earlier or more widespread cloud cover or scattered showers could limit peak readings to 35°C by reducing incoming radiation and promoting evaporative cooling. Model consensus and historical August baselines (typical highs 32–34°C, occasionally reaching 36°C) reinforce this narrow band, with the low-probability tails for 34°C or 37°C+ highlighting the limited but real scope for deviation from updated model runs or real-time observations before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$6,847Ngày kết thúc
Aug 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) for Taipei on August 17, 2026, project a daytime high of 35°C (95°F) under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with only a 20% chance of afternoon thundershowers.** This aligns closely with the market's near-even split between the 35°C (42.5%) and 36°C (39.0%) outcomes, reflecting trader uncertainty over small forecast variations. Late-summer subtropical conditions—high solar insolation, elevated humidity, and weak steering winds—support intense daytime heating in the urban heat island, where concrete and asphalt amplify temperatures. However, any earlier or more widespread cloud cover or scattered showers could limit peak readings to 35°C by reducing incoming radiation and promoting evaporative cooling. Model consensus and historical August baselines (typical highs 32–34°C, occasionally reaching 36°C) reinforce this narrow band, with the low-probability tails for 34°C or 37°C+ highlighting the limited but real scope for deviation from updated model runs or real-time observations before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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