Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and ensemble models point to an overnight minimum near 28°C on August 16 under sunny intervals with showers and light winds, driving the 51% market-implied probability for that outcome. Recent hot, humid conditions from subsiding air associated with Tropical Cyclone Dolphin have elevated baseline temperatures, while typical August climatology shows average lows around 26–27°C amid high moisture content that limits nocturnal cooling. Urban heat island effects in the territory further support readings clustered at 27–28°C rather than cooler thresholds. Updated model runs through the weekend and any shifts in steering flow or precipitation timing represent the key variables that could adjust these implied odds ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 16?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 16?
28°C 38%
27°C 30%
26°C 14%
29°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 16, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
14%
27°C
30%
28°C
38%
29°C
9%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 38%
27°C 30%
26°C 14%
29°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 16, 2026
23°C or below
$397 KL.
<1%
24°C
$628 KL.
1%
25°C
$415 KL.
5%
26°C
$779 KL.
14%
27°C
$817 KL.
30%
28°C
$3,006 KL.
38%
29°C
$653 KL.
9%
30°C
$1,006 KL.
1%
31°C
$266 KL.
<1%
32°C
$266 KL.
<1%
33°C or higher
$266 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and ensemble models point to an overnight minimum near 28°C on August 16 under sunny intervals with showers and light winds, driving the 51% market-implied probability for that outcome. Recent hot, humid conditions from subsiding air associated with Tropical Cyclone Dolphin have elevated baseline temperatures, while typical August climatology shows average lows around 26–27°C amid high moisture content that limits nocturnal cooling. Urban heat island effects in the territory further support readings clustered at 27–28°C rather than cooler thresholds. Updated model runs through the weekend and any shifts in steering flow or precipitation timing represent the key variables that could adjust these implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Khối lượng
$8,497Ngày kết thúc
Aug 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and ensemble models point to an overnight minimum near 28°C on August 16 under sunny intervals with showers and light winds, driving the 51% market-implied probability for that outcome. Recent hot, humid conditions from subsiding air associated with Tropical Cyclone Dolphin have elevated baseline temperatures, while typical August climatology shows average lows around 26–27°C amid high moisture content that limits nocturnal cooling. Urban heat island effects in the territory further support readings clustered at 27–28°C rather than cooler thresholds. Updated model runs through the weekend and any shifts in steering flow or precipitation timing represent the key variables that could adjust these implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$8,497Ngày kết thúc
Aug 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and ensemble models point to an overnight minimum near 28°C on August 16 under sunny intervals with showers and light winds, driving the 51% market-implied probability for that outcome. Recent hot, humid conditions from subsiding air associated with Tropical Cyclone Dolphin have elevated baseline temperatures, while typical August climatology shows average lows around 26–27°C amid high moisture content that limits nocturnal cooling. Urban heat island effects in the territory further support readings clustered at 27–28°C rather than cooler thresholds. Updated model runs through the weekend and any shifts in steering flow or precipitation timing represent the key variables that could adjust these implied odds ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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