Official forecasts from the Met Office, AccuWeather, and other models project Beijing maximum temperatures of 30–32°C on August 19, aligning with late-summer climatology as solar insolation declines and monsoon influences wane. Recent model runs show mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with light northeast winds limiting daytime heating, though minor discrepancies in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover create tight clustering around 31–33°C outcomes. Historical data indicate typical mid-to-late August highs near 30–31°C, with urban heat island effects and any unexpected convective activity as key variables that could nudge the peak by 1–2°C. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will refine these probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Beijing on August 19?
32°C 31%
33°C 25%
31°C 20%
34°C 18%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
10%
31°C
20%
32°C
31%
33°C
25%
34°C
18%
35°C
5%
36°C
4%
37°C or higher
3%
32°C 31%
33°C 25%
31°C 20%
34°C 18%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
10%
31°C
20%
32°C
31%
33°C
25%
34°C
18%
35°C
5%
36°C
4%
37°C or higher
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Met Office, AccuWeather, and other models project Beijing maximum temperatures of 30–32°C on August 19, aligning with late-summer climatology as solar insolation declines and monsoon influences wane. Recent model runs show mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with light northeast winds limiting daytime heating, though minor discrepancies in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover create tight clustering around 31–33°C outcomes. Historical data indicate typical mid-to-late August highs near 30–31°C, with urban heat island effects and any unexpected convective activity as key variables that could nudge the peak by 1–2°C. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will refine these probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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