Recent heavy rainfall across the Sichuan Basin on August 17–18 has suppressed daytime heating by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, keeping maximum temperatures near 27–28°C and driving the tight clustering around those market outcomes. Subtropical monsoon conditions, high humidity, and the basin’s topography often limit afternoon warming even under partial clearing expected on the 19th. Numerical models show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and insolation, with most guidance converging on highs of 27–30°C rather than seasonal peaks near 33°C. Trader consensus reflects this near-term stabilization ahead of the final forecast updates from the China Meteorological Administration.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 19?
28°C 30%
27°C 29%
29°C 16%
26°C 13%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
5%
26°C
13%
27°C
29%
28°C
30%
29°C
16%
30°C
8%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 30%
27°C 29%
29°C 16%
26°C 13%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
5%
26°C
13%
27°C
29%
28°C
30%
29°C
16%
30°C
8%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent heavy rainfall across the Sichuan Basin on August 17–18 has suppressed daytime heating by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, keeping maximum temperatures near 27–28°C and driving the tight clustering around those market outcomes. Subtropical monsoon conditions, high humidity, and the basin’s topography often limit afternoon warming even under partial clearing expected on the 19th. Numerical models show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and insolation, with most guidance converging on highs of 27–30°C rather than seasonal peaks near 33°C. Trader consensus reflects this near-term stabilization ahead of the final forecast updates from the China Meteorological Administration.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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