El Niño conditions combined with a positive Indian Ocean Dipole are driving warmer, drier weather across Singapore through October 2026, elevating typical August afternoon maxima above the long-term 31°C average. Official outlooks from NEA and MSS highlight daily highs of 33–34°C as likely during the first half of the month, with recent observations reaching 34.6°C amid reduced rainfall and persistent humidity. For August 19 specifically, forecast guidance points to 31–33°C peaks depending on cloud cover and any late-day thundery showers, aligning with trader consensus favoring 32°C at 57.5% implied probability. Model consensus and historical variability around the mean explain the tight clustering on 31–33°C outcomes, with new short-range updates from meteorological agencies expected to refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Singapore on August 19?
Highest temperature in Singapore on August 19?
32°C 57%
31°C 28%
33°C 12%
30°C 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 19, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
4%
31°C
28%
32°C
57%
33°C
12%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 57%
31°C 28%
33°C 12%
30°C 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 19, 2026
27°C or below
$117 KL.
<1%
28°C
$17 KL.
<1%
29°C
$36 KL.
3%
30°C
$126 KL.
4%
31°C
$291 KL.
28%
32°C
$1,078 KL.
57%
33°C
$326 KL.
12%
34°C
$21 KL.
3%
35°C
$314 KL.
<1%
36°C
$261 KL.
<1%
37°C or higher
$251 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.El Niño conditions combined with a positive Indian Ocean Dipole are driving warmer, drier weather across Singapore through October 2026, elevating typical August afternoon maxima above the long-term 31°C average. Official outlooks from NEA and MSS highlight daily highs of 33–34°C as likely during the first half of the month, with recent observations reaching 34.6°C amid reduced rainfall and persistent humidity. For August 19 specifically, forecast guidance points to 31–33°C peaks depending on cloud cover and any late-day thundery showers, aligning with trader consensus favoring 32°C at 57.5% implied probability. Model consensus and historical variability around the mean explain the tight clustering on 31–33°C outcomes, with new short-range updates from meteorological agencies expected to refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,838Ngày kết thúc
Aug 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.El Niño conditions combined with a positive Indian Ocean Dipole are driving warmer, drier weather across Singapore through October 2026, elevating typical August afternoon maxima above the long-term 31°C average. Official outlooks from NEA and MSS highlight daily highs of 33–34°C as likely during the first half of the month, with recent observations reaching 34.6°C amid reduced rainfall and persistent humidity. For August 19 specifically, forecast guidance points to 31–33°C peaks depending on cloud cover and any late-day thundery showers, aligning with trader consensus favoring 32°C at 57.5% implied probability. Model consensus and historical variability around the mean explain the tight clustering on 31–33°C outcomes, with new short-range updates from meteorological agencies expected to refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,838Ngày kết thúc
Aug 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...El Niño conditions combined with a positive Indian Ocean Dipole are driving warmer, drier weather across Singapore through October 2026, elevating typical August afternoon maxima above the long-term 31°C average. Official outlooks from NEA and MSS highlight daily highs of 33–34°C as likely during the first half of the month, with recent observations reaching 34.6°C amid reduced rainfall and persistent humidity. For August 19 specifically, forecast guidance points to 31–33°C peaks depending on cloud cover and any late-day thundery showers, aligning with trader consensus favoring 32°C at 57.5% implied probability. Model consensus and historical variability around the mean explain the tight clustering on 31–33°C outcomes, with new short-range updates from meteorological agencies expected to refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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