Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate Paris maximum temperatures on August 18 clustering in the upper 20s Celsius, driven by stable high pressure, limited warm-air advection, broken cloud cover, and light winds that cap daytime heating after the recent heatwave. This positions 27–28°C as the tightest outcomes in trader consensus, reflecting modest model spread around those thresholds versus lower odds for 26°C or 29°C+. Historical August baselines near 24–26°C and the ongoing post-heatwave cooling trend further anchor probabilities, with final resolution hinging on the 18 August observational maximum reported by official stations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Paris on August 18?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 18?
27°C 41%
28°C 33%
26°C 15%
29°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 18, 2026
25°C or below
5%
26°C
15%
27°C
41%
28°C
33%
29°C
8%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
27°C 41%
28°C 33%
26°C 15%
29°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 18, 2026
25°C or below
$50 KL.
5%
26°C
$78 KL.
15%
27°C
$293 KL.
41%
28°C
$237 KL.
33%
29°C
$412 KL.
8%
30°C
$23 KL.
3%
31°C
$197 KL.
1%
32°C
$64 KL.
<1%
33°C
$244 KL.
<1%
34°C
$452 KL.
<1%
35°C or higher
$452 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate Paris maximum temperatures on August 18 clustering in the upper 20s Celsius, driven by stable high pressure, limited warm-air advection, broken cloud cover, and light winds that cap daytime heating after the recent heatwave. This positions 27–28°C as the tightest outcomes in trader consensus, reflecting modest model spread around those thresholds versus lower odds for 26°C or 29°C+. Historical August baselines near 24–26°C and the ongoing post-heatwave cooling trend further anchor probabilities, with final resolution hinging on the 18 August observational maximum reported by official stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,502Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate Paris maximum temperatures on August 18 clustering in the upper 20s Celsius, driven by stable high pressure, limited warm-air advection, broken cloud cover, and light winds that cap daytime heating after the recent heatwave. This positions 27–28°C as the tightest outcomes in trader consensus, reflecting modest model spread around those thresholds versus lower odds for 26°C or 29°C+. Historical August baselines near 24–26°C and the ongoing post-heatwave cooling trend further anchor probabilities, with final resolution hinging on the 18 August observational maximum reported by official stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,502Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate Paris maximum temperatures on August 18 clustering in the upper 20s Celsius, driven by stable high pressure, limited warm-air advection, broken cloud cover, and light winds that cap daytime heating after the recent heatwave. This positions 27–28°C as the tightest outcomes in trader consensus, reflecting modest model spread around those thresholds versus lower odds for 26°C or 29°C+. Historical August baselines near 24–26°C and the ongoing post-heatwave cooling trend further anchor probabilities, with final resolution hinging on the 18 August observational maximum reported by official stations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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