Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a shift toward cloudier conditions and outbreaks of rain across southern England by midweek, moderating temperatures after warmer conditions on August 17. Ensemble models show variable timing of Atlantic frontal systems, with maximum temperatures for London on the 18th most likely falling in the 24–27°C range depending on cloud cover duration and any showers. This uncertainty, combined with the ongoing warm anomaly from summer 2026, explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those thresholds rather than higher values. Updated model runs from the ECMWF and Met Office will refine these details ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in London on August 18?
Highest temperature in London on August 18?
25°C 25%
24°C 20%
26°C 16%
27°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 18, 2026
22°C or below
6%
23°C
8%
24°C
20%
25°C
33%
26°C
16%
27°C
10%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 25%
24°C 20%
26°C 16%
27°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 18, 2026
22°C or below
$374 KL.
6%
23°C
$277 KL.
8%
24°C
$1,005 KL.
20%
25°C
$2,648 KL.
33%
26°C
$1,407 KL.
16%
27°C
$303 KL.
10%
28°C
$114 KL.
2%
29°C
$363 KL.
1%
30°C
$267 KL.
<1%
31°C
$267 KL.
<1%
32°C or higher
$267 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a shift toward cloudier conditions and outbreaks of rain across southern England by midweek, moderating temperatures after warmer conditions on August 17. Ensemble models show variable timing of Atlantic frontal systems, with maximum temperatures for London on the 18th most likely falling in the 24–27°C range depending on cloud cover duration and any showers. This uncertainty, combined with the ongoing warm anomaly from summer 2026, explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those thresholds rather than higher values. Updated model runs from the ECMWF and Met Office will refine these details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Khối lượng
$7,292Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a shift toward cloudier conditions and outbreaks of rain across southern England by midweek, moderating temperatures after warmer conditions on August 17. Ensemble models show variable timing of Atlantic frontal systems, with maximum temperatures for London on the 18th most likely falling in the 24–27°C range depending on cloud cover duration and any showers. This uncertainty, combined with the ongoing warm anomaly from summer 2026, explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those thresholds rather than higher values. Updated model runs from the ECMWF and Met Office will refine these details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$7,292Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a shift toward cloudier conditions and outbreaks of rain across southern England by midweek, moderating temperatures after warmer conditions on August 17. Ensemble models show variable timing of Atlantic frontal systems, with maximum temperatures for London on the 18th most likely falling in the 24–27°C range depending on cloud cover duration and any showers. This uncertainty, combined with the ongoing warm anomaly from summer 2026, explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those thresholds rather than higher values. Updated model runs from the ECMWF and Met Office will refine these details ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp