Marine layer depth and onshore flow timing represent the key variables shaping trader consensus around the 76–79°F range for the official Los Angeles International Airport high on August 17. Persistent coastal stratus and strengthening sea breeze, typical under neutral ENSO conditions, have recently capped daytime warming near 75–78°F despite seasonal August averages near 84°F. National Weather Service model guidance shows minor spread in marine layer clearance timing, which could allow modest additional heating to 78–79°F or keep readings anchored at 76–77°F. Traders weigh these atmospheric patterns against historical coastal moderation, with fresh forecast updates expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 17?
76-77°F 38%
78-79°F 33%
74-75°F 14%
80-81°F 12%
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
14%
76-77°F
38%
78-79°F
33%
80-81°F
12%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 38%
78-79°F 33%
74-75°F 14%
80-81°F 12%
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
14%
76-77°F
38%
78-79°F
33%
80-81°F
12%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Marine layer depth and onshore flow timing represent the key variables shaping trader consensus around the 76–79°F range for the official Los Angeles International Airport high on August 17. Persistent coastal stratus and strengthening sea breeze, typical under neutral ENSO conditions, have recently capped daytime warming near 75–78°F despite seasonal August averages near 84°F. National Weather Service model guidance shows minor spread in marine layer clearance timing, which could allow modest additional heating to 78–79°F or keep readings anchored at 76–77°F. Traders weigh these atmospheric patterns against historical coastal moderation, with fresh forecast updates expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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