Recent model consensus from agencies tracking East Asian monsoon influences shows persistent cloud cover and scattered showers over Shanghai on August 22, limiting daytime heating and favoring a peak near 30–31 °C. High humidity near 85–90 % combined with easterly flow and moderate winds of 10–25 km/h enhances evaporative cooling and reduces insolation, keeping values below the 33–34 °C seen earlier in the month. Ensemble spreads remain narrow around these thresholds, with precipitation probabilities above 70 % during peak heating hours contributing to the near-even split in market-implied odds between 30 °C and 31 °C. Updated runs from the next 12–24 hours will clarify any late intensification or clearing that could shift the exact maximum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 22?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 22?
31°C 37%
30°C 37%
29°C 12%
32°C 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 22, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
8%
29°C
12%
30°C
37%
31°C
37%
32°C
12%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
1%
31°C 37%
30°C 37%
29°C 12%
32°C 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 22, 2026
24°C or below
$56 KL.
<1%
25°C
$5 KL.
<1%
26°C
$5 KL.
<1%
27°C
$5 KL.
1%
28°C
$34 KL.
8%
29°C
$47 KL.
12%
30°C
$59 KL.
37%
31°C
$50 KL.
37%
32°C
$7 KL.
12%
33°C
$19 KL.
3%
34°C or higher
$17 KL.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies tracking East Asian monsoon influences shows persistent cloud cover and scattered showers over Shanghai on August 22, limiting daytime heating and favoring a peak near 30–31 °C. High humidity near 85–90 % combined with easterly flow and moderate winds of 10–25 km/h enhances evaporative cooling and reduces insolation, keeping values below the 33–34 °C seen earlier in the month. Ensemble spreads remain narrow around these thresholds, with precipitation probabilities above 70 % during peak heating hours contributing to the near-even split in market-implied odds between 30 °C and 31 °C. Updated runs from the next 12–24 hours will clarify any late intensification or clearing that could shift the exact maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$303Ngày kết thúc
Aug 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies tracking East Asian monsoon influences shows persistent cloud cover and scattered showers over Shanghai on August 22, limiting daytime heating and favoring a peak near 30–31 °C. High humidity near 85–90 % combined with easterly flow and moderate winds of 10–25 km/h enhances evaporative cooling and reduces insolation, keeping values below the 33–34 °C seen earlier in the month. Ensemble spreads remain narrow around these thresholds, with precipitation probabilities above 70 % during peak heating hours contributing to the near-even split in market-implied odds between 30 °C and 31 °C. Updated runs from the next 12–24 hours will clarify any late intensification or clearing that could shift the exact maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$303Ngày kết thúc
Aug 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from agencies tracking East Asian monsoon influences shows persistent cloud cover and scattered showers over Shanghai on August 22, limiting daytime heating and favoring a peak near 30–31 °C. High humidity near 85–90 % combined with easterly flow and moderate winds of 10–25 km/h enhances evaporative cooling and reduces insolation, keeping values below the 33–34 °C seen earlier in the month. Ensemble spreads remain narrow around these thresholds, with precipitation probabilities above 70 % during peak heating hours contributing to the near-even split in market-implied odds between 30 °C and 31 °C. Updated runs from the next 12–24 hours will clarify any late intensification or clearing that could shift the exact maximum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp