Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs updated on August 20, point to a peak temperature near 35–36°C in Chongqing on August 22, driving the closely matched market-implied odds at 29% and 25.5% respectively. Persistent summer heat across the Yangtze River basin, combined with partly cloudy skies and a 60–70% chance of afternoon thunderstorms, creates uncertainty in maximum solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Minor differences in steering winds, boundary-layer moisture, and convective timing between model ensembles separate the 35°C and 36°C outcomes, while historical August averages near 32°C provide baseline context. Updated CMA guidance and the next model cycle on August 21 represent the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 22?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 22?
35°C 29%
36°C 26%
33°C 13%
38°C or higher 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 22, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
5%
33°C
13%
34°C
9%
35°C
29%
36°C
26%
37°C
14%
38°C or higher
12%
35°C 29%
36°C 26%
33°C 13%
38°C or higher 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 22, 2026
28°C or below
$196 KL.
<1%
29°C
$196 KL.
1%
30°C
$70 KL.
1%
31°C
$0 KL.
1%
32°C
$32 KL.
5%
33°C
$2 KL.
13%
34°C
$9 KL.
9%
35°C
$0 KL.
29%
36°C
$25 KL.
26%
37°C
$17 KL.
14%
38°C or higher
$36 KL.
12%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs updated on August 20, point to a peak temperature near 35–36°C in Chongqing on August 22, driving the closely matched market-implied odds at 29% and 25.5% respectively. Persistent summer heat across the Yangtze River basin, combined with partly cloudy skies and a 60–70% chance of afternoon thunderstorms, creates uncertainty in maximum solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Minor differences in steering winds, boundary-layer moisture, and convective timing between model ensembles separate the 35°C and 36°C outcomes, while historical August averages near 32°C provide baseline context. Updated CMA guidance and the next model cycle on August 21 represent the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader consensus.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$582Ngày kết thúc
Aug 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs updated on August 20, point to a peak temperature near 35–36°C in Chongqing on August 22, driving the closely matched market-implied odds at 29% and 25.5% respectively. Persistent summer heat across the Yangtze River basin, combined with partly cloudy skies and a 60–70% chance of afternoon thunderstorms, creates uncertainty in maximum solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Minor differences in steering winds, boundary-layer moisture, and convective timing between model ensembles separate the 35°C and 36°C outcomes, while historical August averages near 32°C provide baseline context. Updated CMA guidance and the next model cycle on August 21 represent the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader consensus.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$582Ngày kết thúc
Aug 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs updated on August 20, point to a peak temperature near 35–36°C in Chongqing on August 22, driving the closely matched market-implied odds at 29% and 25.5% respectively. Persistent summer heat across the Yangtze River basin, combined with partly cloudy skies and a 60–70% chance of afternoon thunderstorms, creates uncertainty in maximum solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Minor differences in steering winds, boundary-layer moisture, and convective timing between model ensembles separate the 35°C and 36°C outcomes, while historical August averages near 32°C provide baseline context. Updated CMA guidance and the next model cycle on August 21 represent the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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