Recent AEMET and ECMWF ensemble forecasts position 33°C and 34°C as the leading implied probabilities by projecting a daytime maximum near those thresholds for Madrid on August 22 under mostly clear skies, light winds, and stable high pressure. This follows a brief late-summer cooldown from mid-month peaks above 35°C, with subtle Atlantic moisture moderating heating. Historical late-August averages hover near 32°C, and the tight clustering of market odds reflects model consensus on limited variability absent stronger subsidence or frontal influence. Final official readings from the Spanish meteorological network will determine resolution, with any last-minute model shifts potentially adjusting trader sentiment before the close.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Madrid on August 22?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 22?
33°C 49%
34°C 40%
32°C 8%
35°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 22, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
8%
33°C
49%
34°C
40%
35°C
6%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 49%
34°C 40%
32°C 8%
35°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 22, 2026
29°C or below
$433 KL.
<1%
30°C
$267 KL.
<1%
31°C
$381 KL.
<1%
32°C
$1,173 KL.
8%
33°C
$561 KL.
49%
34°C
$1,050 KL.
40%
35°C
$630 KL.
6%
36°C
$479 KL.
1%
37°C
$390 KL.
1%
38°C
$287 KL.
<1%
39°C or higher
$709 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent AEMET and ECMWF ensemble forecasts position 33°C and 34°C as the leading implied probabilities by projecting a daytime maximum near those thresholds for Madrid on August 22 under mostly clear skies, light winds, and stable high pressure. This follows a brief late-summer cooldown from mid-month peaks above 35°C, with subtle Atlantic moisture moderating heating. Historical late-August averages hover near 32°C, and the tight clustering of market odds reflects model consensus on limited variability absent stronger subsidence or frontal influence. Final official readings from the Spanish meteorological network will determine resolution, with any last-minute model shifts potentially adjusting trader sentiment before the close.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$6,334Ngày kết thúc
Aug 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent AEMET and ECMWF ensemble forecasts position 33°C and 34°C as the leading implied probabilities by projecting a daytime maximum near those thresholds for Madrid on August 22 under mostly clear skies, light winds, and stable high pressure. This follows a brief late-summer cooldown from mid-month peaks above 35°C, with subtle Atlantic moisture moderating heating. Historical late-August averages hover near 32°C, and the tight clustering of market odds reflects model consensus on limited variability absent stronger subsidence or frontal influence. Final official readings from the Spanish meteorological network will determine resolution, with any last-minute model shifts potentially adjusting trader sentiment before the close.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$6,334Ngày kết thúc
Aug 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent AEMET and ECMWF ensemble forecasts position 33°C and 34°C as the leading implied probabilities by projecting a daytime maximum near those thresholds for Madrid on August 22 under mostly clear skies, light winds, and stable high pressure. This follows a brief late-summer cooldown from mid-month peaks above 35°C, with subtle Atlantic moisture moderating heating. Historical late-August averages hover near 32°C, and the tight clustering of market odds reflects model consensus on limited variability absent stronger subsidence or frontal influence. Final official readings from the Spanish meteorological network will determine resolution, with any last-minute model shifts potentially adjusting trader sentiment before the close.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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