Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate San Francisco's overnight low on August 22 will likely fall in the mid-to-upper 50s°F, aligning with the market's tight distribution across the 56–61°F bins. Persistent marine layer influence and westerly flow off the Pacific moderate minimum temperatures, while variable fog clearance timing and localized wind patterns introduce small uncertainties that explain the spread among leading outcomes. Historical August climatology, with average lows near 57°F at San Francisco International Airport, provides context for this range. Traders weigh these factors against potential model updates ahead of the official daily minimum observation used for resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in San Francisco on August 22?
Lowest temperature in San Francisco on August 22?
58-59°F 42%
56-57°F 30%
60-61°F 27%
54-55°F 27%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 22, 2026
49°F or below
1%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
25%
54-55°F
27%
56-57°F
30%
58-59°F
42%
60-61°F
27%
62-63°F
9%
64-65°F
27%
66-67°F
8%
68°F or higher
1%
58-59°F 42%
56-57°F 30%
60-61°F 27%
54-55°F 27%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 22, 2026
49°F or below
$27 KL.
1%
50-51°F
$27 KL.
1%
52-53°F
$0 KL.
25%
54-55°F
$0 KL.
27%
56-57°F
$0 KL.
30%
58-59°F
$0 KL.
42%
60-61°F
$0 KL.
27%
62-63°F
$177 KL.
9%
64-65°F
$0 KL.
27%
66-67°F
$37 KL.
8%
68°F or higher
$27 KL.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate San Francisco's overnight low on August 22 will likely fall in the mid-to-upper 50s°F, aligning with the market's tight distribution across the 56–61°F bins. Persistent marine layer influence and westerly flow off the Pacific moderate minimum temperatures, while variable fog clearance timing and localized wind patterns introduce small uncertainties that explain the spread among leading outcomes. Historical August climatology, with average lows near 57°F at San Francisco International Airport, provides context for this range. Traders weigh these factors against potential model updates ahead of the official daily minimum observation used for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ET
Khối lượng
$295Ngày kết thúc
Aug 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate San Francisco's overnight low on August 22 will likely fall in the mid-to-upper 50s°F, aligning with the market's tight distribution across the 56–61°F bins. Persistent marine layer influence and westerly flow off the Pacific moderate minimum temperatures, while variable fog clearance timing and localized wind patterns introduce small uncertainties that explain the spread among leading outcomes. Historical August climatology, with average lows near 57°F at San Francisco International Airport, provides context for this range. Traders weigh these factors against potential model updates ahead of the official daily minimum observation used for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$295Ngày kết thúc
Aug 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate San Francisco's overnight low on August 22 will likely fall in the mid-to-upper 50s°F, aligning with the market's tight distribution across the 56–61°F bins. Persistent marine layer influence and westerly flow off the Pacific moderate minimum temperatures, while variable fog clearance timing and localized wind patterns introduce small uncertainties that explain the spread among leading outcomes. Historical August climatology, with average lows near 57°F at San Francisco International Airport, provides context for this range. Traders weigh these factors against potential model updates ahead of the official daily minimum observation used for resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp