PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on August 23 show daytime highs of 29–32°C amid the southwest monsoon (habagat), which sustains widespread cloud cover, scattered rains, and thunderstorms that suppress peak heating. Recent station data indicate similar 31–32°C maxima under comparable conditions, while climatological August averages hover near 30°C. Model consensus points to 60–80% rain probability, with heavier showers or clearer breaks as the key variables that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Trader odds cluster around 30–31°C because monsoon-driven moisture and reduced insolation make extremes below 29°C or above 33°C less probable without major steering-pattern changes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Manila on August 23?
31°C 40%
30°C 30%
29°C 16%
32°C 12%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
10%
29°C
16%
30°C
30%
31°C
21%
32°C
15%
33°C
9%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 40%
30°C 30%
29°C 16%
32°C 12%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
10%
29°C
16%
30°C
30%
31°C
21%
32°C
15%
33°C
9%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 21, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on August 23 show daytime highs of 29–32°C amid the southwest monsoon (habagat), which sustains widespread cloud cover, scattered rains, and thunderstorms that suppress peak heating. Recent station data indicate similar 31–32°C maxima under comparable conditions, while climatological August averages hover near 30°C. Model consensus points to 60–80% rain probability, with heavier showers or clearer breaks as the key variables that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Trader odds cluster around 30–31°C because monsoon-driven moisture and reduced insolation make extremes below 29°C or above 33°C less probable without major steering-pattern changes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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