Recent forecasts from multiple models place Shenzhen's August 23 high near 31–33 °C amid widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and high humidity typical of the East Asian summer monsoon. Persistent tropical moisture and weak steering flow favor afternoon convection that caps peak temperatures while limiting solar heating, producing a narrow range centered on the market's leading 32 °C and 31 °C outcomes. Model differences in timing and intensity of rain explain the tight spread among 30–34 °C probabilities, with official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble runs continuing to show modest day-to-day variability through the 48-hour window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 23?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 23?
32°C 29%
31°C 23%
33°C 18%
30°C 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 23, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
7%
30°C
12%
31°C
23%
32°C
29%
33°C
18%
34°C
9%
35°C or higher
4%
32°C 29%
31°C 23%
33°C 18%
30°C 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 23, 2026
25°C or below
$182 KL.
<1%
26°C
$176 KL.
<1%
27°C
$277 KL.
<1%
28°C
$433 KL.
3%
29°C
$243 KL.
7%
30°C
$191 KL.
12%
31°C
$223 KL.
23%
32°C
$2,078 KL.
29%
33°C
$48 KL.
18%
34°C
$531 KL.
9%
35°C or higher
$265 KL.
4%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models place Shenzhen's August 23 high near 31–33 °C amid widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and high humidity typical of the East Asian summer monsoon. Persistent tropical moisture and weak steering flow favor afternoon convection that caps peak temperatures while limiting solar heating, producing a narrow range centered on the market's leading 32 °C and 31 °C outcomes. Model differences in timing and intensity of rain explain the tight spread among 30–34 °C probabilities, with official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble runs continuing to show modest day-to-day variability through the 48-hour window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$4,648Ngày kết thúc
Aug 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models place Shenzhen's August 23 high near 31–33 °C amid widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and high humidity typical of the East Asian summer monsoon. Persistent tropical moisture and weak steering flow favor afternoon convection that caps peak temperatures while limiting solar heating, producing a narrow range centered on the market's leading 32 °C and 31 °C outcomes. Model differences in timing and intensity of rain explain the tight spread among 30–34 °C probabilities, with official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble runs continuing to show modest day-to-day variability through the 48-hour window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$4,648Ngày kết thúc
Aug 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models place Shenzhen's August 23 high near 31–33 °C amid widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and high humidity typical of the East Asian summer monsoon. Persistent tropical moisture and weak steering flow favor afternoon convection that caps peak temperatures while limiting solar heating, producing a narrow range centered on the market's leading 32 °C and 31 °C outcomes. Model differences in timing and intensity of rain explain the tight spread among 30–34 °C probabilities, with official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble runs continuing to show modest day-to-day variability through the 48-hour window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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