Recent model guidance from Météo-France and European ensembles shows a post-heatwave cool-down for Paris on August 21, with increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and modest northerly flow limiting daytime heating and boundary-layer mixing. These conditions align with late-August climatology of 23–25°C highs while suppressing peaks near seasonal averages. Official forecasts currently center on a 23–25°C maximum, supporting the market’s strong consensus around 23°C. Traders monitor the next ECMWF and GFS runs for any shifts in cloud timing or advection that could nudge the peak higher or hold it near the leading bin; resolution depends on the official Paris-Montsouris maximum recorded that day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Paris on August 21?
23°C 54%
24°C 24%
22°C 14%
25°C 5%
20°C or below
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
14%
23°C
54%
24°C
24%
25°C
5%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 54%
24°C 24%
22°C 14%
25°C 5%
20°C or below
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
14%
23°C
54%
24°C
24%
25°C
5%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model guidance from Météo-France and European ensembles shows a post-heatwave cool-down for Paris on August 21, with increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and modest northerly flow limiting daytime heating and boundary-layer mixing. These conditions align with late-August climatology of 23–25°C highs while suppressing peaks near seasonal averages. Official forecasts currently center on a 23–25°C maximum, supporting the market’s strong consensus around 23°C. Traders monitor the next ECMWF and GFS runs for any shifts in cloud timing or advection that could nudge the peak higher or hold it near the leading bin; resolution depends on the official Paris-Montsouris maximum recorded that day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp