Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from major centers indicate overnight lows in Paris on August 21 clustering near 13–15°C, with the market’s leading 15°C outcome (33%) reflecting model consensus on moderate radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and scattered showers. Traders weigh factors such as urban heat-island effects at official stations, boundary-layer moisture from recent Atlantic flow, and slight variations in forecast timing of any clearing that could allow deeper nocturnal cooling toward 13°C or 14°C. Climatological August minima average around 14–15°C, but short-range model spread and potential for localized showers introduce the observed close probabilities rather than a single dominant outcome. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine these thresholds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Paris on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 21?
15°C 33%
14°C 28%
13°C 17%
16°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 21, 2026
11°C or below
2%
12°C
4%
13°C
17%
14°C
28%
15°C
33%
16°C
17%
17°C
5%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
15°C 33%
14°C 28%
13°C 17%
16°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 21, 2026
11°C or below
$84 KL.
2%
12°C
$19 KL.
4%
13°C
$309 KL.
17%
14°C
$1,891 KL.
28%
15°C
$284 KL.
33%
16°C
$37 KL.
17%
17°C
$52 KL.
5%
18°C
$738 KL.
1%
19°C
$24 KL.
<1%
20°C
$24 KL.
<1%
21°C or higher
$281 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from major centers indicate overnight lows in Paris on August 21 clustering near 13–15°C, with the market’s leading 15°C outcome (33%) reflecting model consensus on moderate radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and scattered showers. Traders weigh factors such as urban heat-island effects at official stations, boundary-layer moisture from recent Atlantic flow, and slight variations in forecast timing of any clearing that could allow deeper nocturnal cooling toward 13°C or 14°C. Climatological August minima average around 14–15°C, but short-range model spread and potential for localized showers introduce the observed close probabilities rather than a single dominant outcome. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,713Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from major centers indicate overnight lows in Paris on August 21 clustering near 13–15°C, with the market’s leading 15°C outcome (33%) reflecting model consensus on moderate radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and scattered showers. Traders weigh factors such as urban heat-island effects at official stations, boundary-layer moisture from recent Atlantic flow, and slight variations in forecast timing of any clearing that could allow deeper nocturnal cooling toward 13°C or 14°C. Climatological August minima average around 14–15°C, but short-range model spread and potential for localized showers introduce the observed close probabilities rather than a single dominant outcome. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$3,713Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from major centers indicate overnight lows in Paris on August 21 clustering near 13–15°C, with the market’s leading 15°C outcome (33%) reflecting model consensus on moderate radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and scattered showers. Traders weigh factors such as urban heat-island effects at official stations, boundary-layer moisture from recent Atlantic flow, and slight variations in forecast timing of any clearing that could allow deeper nocturnal cooling toward 13°C or 14°C. Climatological August minima average around 14–15°C, but short-range model spread and potential for localized showers introduce the observed close probabilities rather than a single dominant outcome. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine these thresholds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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