**Current Met Office and ensemble forecasts indicate an overnight low near 12°C for London on August 22, driven by building high pressure, northerly winds advecting cooler maritime air, and clear skies promoting radiative cooling after sunset.** This aligns with the market's strong consensus at 12°C (53.5% implied probability), with 11°C and 13°C capturing most remaining volume. August climatology for central London shows typical minima of 12–14°C; the recent shift from mid-month heat (departures up to +8°C) to fresher conditions has tightened model guidance around these values. Key resolution factors include official observations from London weather stations, with minimal expected model spread given the stable synoptic pattern.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in London on August 22?
Lowest temperature in London on August 22?
12°C 54%
13°C 21%
11°C 16%
14°C 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 22, 2026
9°C or below
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
16%
12°C
54%
13°C
21%
14°C
5%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
12°C 54%
13°C 21%
11°C 16%
14°C 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 22, 2026
9°C or below
$0 KL.
1%
10°C
$16 KL.
1%
11°C
$117 KL.
16%
12°C
$1,092 KL.
54%
13°C
$398 KL.
21%
14°C
$53 KL.
5%
15°C
$25 KL.
1%
16°C
$32 KL.
1%
17°C
$32 KL.
<1%
18°C
$32 KL.
<1%
19°C or higher
$271 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current Met Office and ensemble forecasts indicate an overnight low near 12°C for London on August 22, driven by building high pressure, northerly winds advecting cooler maritime air, and clear skies promoting radiative cooling after sunset.**
This aligns with the market's strong consensus at 12°C (53.5% implied probability), with 11°C and 13°C capturing most remaining volume. August climatology for central London shows typical minima of 12–14°C; the recent shift from mid-month heat (departures up to +8°C) to fresher conditions has tightened model guidance around these values. Key resolution factors include official observations from London weather stations, with minimal expected model spread given the stable synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,069Ngày kết thúc
Aug 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current Met Office and ensemble forecasts indicate an overnight low near 12°C for London on August 22, driven by building high pressure, northerly winds advecting cooler maritime air, and clear skies promoting radiative cooling after sunset.**
This aligns with the market's strong consensus at 12°C (53.5% implied probability), with 11°C and 13°C capturing most remaining volume. August climatology for central London shows typical minima of 12–14°C; the recent shift from mid-month heat (departures up to +8°C) to fresher conditions has tightened model guidance around these values. Key resolution factors include official observations from London weather stations, with minimal expected model spread given the stable synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,069Ngày kết thúc
Aug 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current Met Office and ensemble forecasts indicate an overnight low near 12°C for London on August 22, driven by building high pressure, northerly winds advecting cooler maritime air, and clear skies promoting radiative cooling after sunset.** This aligns with the market's strong consensus at 12°C (53.5% implied probability), with 11°C and 13°C capturing most remaining volume. August climatology for central London shows typical minima of 12–14°C; the recent shift from mid-month heat (departures up to +8°C) to fresher conditions has tightened model guidance around these values. Key resolution factors include official observations from London weather stations, with minimal expected model spread given the stable synoptic pattern.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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