The Hong Kong Observatory's real-time observations and short-range forecast models show surface temperatures peaking near 31°C on August 21 amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with light winds, partly cloudy skies, and no incoming weather systems to drive notable warming or cooling. This consensus across official monitoring aligns with climatological norms for the date and supports the overwhelming market-implied probability on that exact threshold. Only an unexpected rapid shift in local advection, instrumentation calibration issues, or micro-scale urban heat effects outside standard resolution criteria could alter the outcome before final verification.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 21?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 21?
31°C 99.8%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$233,836 KL.
$233,836 KL.
Aug 21, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
31°C 99.8%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$233,836 KL.
$233,836 KL.
Aug 21, 2026
24°C or below
$1,765 KL.
<1%
25°C
$802 KL.
<1%
26°C
$1,597 KL.
<1%
27°C
$18,855 KL.
<1%
28°C
$43,865 KL.
<1%
29°C
$29,853 KL.
<1%
30°C
$27,189 KL.
<1%
31°C
$44,020 KL.
100%
32°C
$35,023 KL.
<1%
33°C
$17,291 KL.
<1%
34°C or higher
$13,576 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's real-time observations and short-range forecast models show surface temperatures peaking near 31°C on August 21 amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with light winds, partly cloudy skies, and no incoming weather systems to drive notable warming or cooling. This consensus across official monitoring aligns with climatological norms for the date and supports the overwhelming market-implied probability on that exact threshold. Only an unexpected rapid shift in local advection, instrumentation calibration issues, or micro-scale urban heat effects outside standard resolution criteria could alter the outcome before final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$233,836Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's real-time observations and short-range forecast models show surface temperatures peaking near 31°C on August 21 amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with light winds, partly cloudy skies, and no incoming weather systems to drive notable warming or cooling. This consensus across official monitoring aligns with climatological norms for the date and supports the overwhelming market-implied probability on that exact threshold. Only an unexpected rapid shift in local advection, instrumentation calibration issues, or micro-scale urban heat effects outside standard resolution criteria could alter the outcome before final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$233,836Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Hong Kong Observatory's real-time observations and short-range forecast models show surface temperatures peaking near 31°C on August 21 amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with light winds, partly cloudy skies, and no incoming weather systems to drive notable warming or cooling. This consensus across official monitoring aligns with climatological norms for the date and supports the overwhelming market-implied probability on that exact threshold. Only an unexpected rapid shift in local advection, instrumentation calibration issues, or micro-scale urban heat effects outside standard resolution criteria could alter the outcome before final verification.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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