Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory currently indicate a maximum of 31°C for August 23, supported by expected cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity that limit daytime heating. Recent days have recorded similar peaks of 31–32°C under comparable conditions, aligning with the seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures amid ongoing monsoon influences and potential tropical moisture. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 31–32°C because model guidance shows limited scope for stronger insolation or clearer skies that could push readings higher, while rain-cooled air masses make sub-30°C outcomes less probable. Updated model runs and any last-minute shifts in steering flow will determine final resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 23?
31°C 35%
32°C 27%
30°C 20%
33°C 11%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
10%
30°C
20%
31°C
35%
32°C
27%
33°C
11%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 35%
32°C 27%
30°C 20%
33°C 11%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
10%
30°C
20%
31°C
35%
32°C
27%
33°C
11%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory currently indicate a maximum of 31°C for August 23, supported by expected cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity that limit daytime heating. Recent days have recorded similar peaks of 31–32°C under comparable conditions, aligning with the seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures amid ongoing monsoon influences and potential tropical moisture. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 31–32°C because model guidance shows limited scope for stronger insolation or clearer skies that could push readings higher, while rain-cooled air masses make sub-30°C outcomes less probable. Updated model runs and any last-minute shifts in steering flow will determine final resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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