Global seismic monitoring by the USGS and similar agencies recorded exactly seven earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or greater during the August 24–30 window, aligning with the market-implied consensus at 100% probability for that outcome. This count reflects typical weekly variability in tectonic activity along major plate boundaries, with events distributed across regions such as the Banda Sea, South Pacific, and Indonesia's Flores area. Historical baselines show 5–10 such quakes per week on average, though short-term clusters can shift totals. Final catalog revisions or late detections of borderline events near the 5.5 threshold represent the only realistic paths to a different resolution, though current verified data leave little room for deviation.