Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather point to sunny conditions and highs near 31–32°C (89–90°F) for Istanbul on August 23, 2026, driven by persistent high pressure and clear skies typical of late summer in the region. This creates uncertainty around the exact maximum, as model runs show minor variations in timing of peak heating, urban heat effects, and light winds over the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara. Historical August averages of 27–30°C highs provide context, yet current patterns favor the upper end of the distribution. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 28°C amid these close forecasts, with upcoming model updates from European and global centers likely to refine the outcome before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 23?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 23?
28°C 40%
29°C 33%
27°C 29%
26°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 23, 2026
23°C or below
3%
24°C
4%
25°C
2%
26°C
6%
27°C
29%
28°C
40%
29°C
20%
30°C
4%
31°C
3%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
3%
28°C 40%
29°C 33%
27°C 29%
26°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 23, 2026
23°C or below
$25 KL.
3%
24°C
$25 KL.
4%
25°C
$20 KL.
2%
26°C
$42 KL.
6%
27°C
$64 KL.
29%
28°C
$55 KL.
40%
29°C
$30 KL.
20%
30°C
$0 KL.
4%
31°C
$0 KL.
3%
32°C
$5 KL.
4%
33°C or higher
$2 KL.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather point to sunny conditions and highs near 31–32°C (89–90°F) for Istanbul on August 23, 2026, driven by persistent high pressure and clear skies typical of late summer in the region. This creates uncertainty around the exact maximum, as model runs show minor variations in timing of peak heating, urban heat effects, and light winds over the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara. Historical August averages of 27–30°C highs provide context, yet current patterns favor the upper end of the distribution. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 28°C amid these close forecasts, with upcoming model updates from European and global centers likely to refine the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$268Ngày kết thúc
Aug 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather point to sunny conditions and highs near 31–32°C (89–90°F) for Istanbul on August 23, 2026, driven by persistent high pressure and clear skies typical of late summer in the region. This creates uncertainty around the exact maximum, as model runs show minor variations in timing of peak heating, urban heat effects, and light winds over the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara. Historical August averages of 27–30°C highs provide context, yet current patterns favor the upper end of the distribution. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 28°C amid these close forecasts, with upcoming model updates from European and global centers likely to refine the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$268Ngày kết thúc
Aug 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather point to sunny conditions and highs near 31–32°C (89–90°F) for Istanbul on August 23, 2026, driven by persistent high pressure and clear skies typical of late summer in the region. This creates uncertainty around the exact maximum, as model runs show minor variations in timing of peak heating, urban heat effects, and light winds over the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara. Historical August averages of 27–30°C highs provide context, yet current patterns favor the upper end of the distribution. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 28°C amid these close forecasts, with upcoming model updates from European and global centers likely to refine the outcome before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp