Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate unsettled conditions with showers and high humidity (75-95%) on August 21, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures clustered around 26-27°C. These outcomes reflect model consensus on weak steering flow and persistent cloud cover under a broader monsoon trough, which suppresses the typical 1-2°C drop seen under clear skies. Seasonal outlooks for normal-to-above-normal August temperatures provide baseline context, while short-term variables like wind speed and precipitation timing create the narrow spread between 26°C and 27°C probabilities. Updated HKO guidance and ensemble model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 21?
27°C 41%
26°C 29%
28°C 15%
25°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 21, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
11%
26°C
29%
27°C
41%
28°C
15%
29°C
4%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 41%
26°C 29%
28°C 15%
25°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 21, 2026
22°C or below
$43 KL.
<1%
23°C
$157 KL.
1%
24°C
$188 KL.
3%
25°C
$22 KL.
11%
26°C
$148 KL.
29%
27°C
$294 KL.
41%
28°C
$254 KL.
15%
29°C
$220 KL.
4%
30°C
$44 KL.
<1%
31°C
$23 KL.
<1%
32°C or higher
$44 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate unsettled conditions with showers and high humidity (75-95%) on August 21, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures clustered around 26-27°C. These outcomes reflect model consensus on weak steering flow and persistent cloud cover under a broader monsoon trough, which suppresses the typical 1-2°C drop seen under clear skies. Seasonal outlooks for normal-to-above-normal August temperatures provide baseline context, while short-term variables like wind speed and precipitation timing create the narrow spread between 26°C and 27°C probabilities. Updated HKO guidance and ensemble model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,436Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate unsettled conditions with showers and high humidity (75-95%) on August 21, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures clustered around 26-27°C. These outcomes reflect model consensus on weak steering flow and persistent cloud cover under a broader monsoon trough, which suppresses the typical 1-2°C drop seen under clear skies. Seasonal outlooks for normal-to-above-normal August temperatures provide baseline context, while short-term variables like wind speed and precipitation timing create the narrow spread between 26°C and 27°C probabilities. Updated HKO guidance and ensemble model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$1,436Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate unsettled conditions with showers and high humidity (75-95%) on August 21, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures clustered around 26-27°C. These outcomes reflect model consensus on weak steering flow and persistent cloud cover under a broader monsoon trough, which suppresses the typical 1-2°C drop seen under clear skies. Seasonal outlooks for normal-to-above-normal August temperatures provide baseline context, while short-term variables like wind speed and precipitation timing create the narrow spread between 26°C and 27°C probabilities. Updated HKO guidance and ensemble model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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