Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate an overnight low near 27°C on August 19 amid light rain, 70-95% humidity, and persistent cloud cover that limits radiative cooling in the urban environment. Trader consensus clusters on 26–28°C outcomes, reflecting short-range model stability and minor downward adjustments possible from enhanced cloudiness or showers, while the seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures provides broader context without altering the immediate window. High baseline August humidity and the subtropical monsoon pattern historically suppress lows below 25°C unless a rare clear-sky or frontal passage develops.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 19?
27°C 41%
26°C 36%
28°C 30%
25°C 16%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
16%
26°C
36%
27°C
41%
28°C
20%
29°C
12%
30°C
11%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 41%
26°C 36%
28°C 30%
25°C 16%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
16%
26°C
36%
27°C
41%
28°C
20%
29°C
12%
30°C
11%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate an overnight low near 27°C on August 19 amid light rain, 70-95% humidity, and persistent cloud cover that limits radiative cooling in the urban environment. Trader consensus clusters on 26–28°C outcomes, reflecting short-range model stability and minor downward adjustments possible from enhanced cloudiness or showers, while the seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures provides broader context without altering the immediate window. High baseline August humidity and the subtropical monsoon pattern historically suppress lows below 25°C unless a rare clear-sky or frontal passage develops.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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