Current model consensus from the Hong Kong Observatory points to overnight lows of 27–28°C on August 18 amid persistent subtropical high humidity and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Typical August climatology features mean minimums near 26°C, but above-normal seasonal temperatures and weak monsoon influences currently favor slightly warmer readings, creating tight market clustering around 26–27°C. Key variables differentiating outcomes include variable cloud cover, localized wind shifts, and urban heat retention, with new forecast updates expected to sharpen resolution before the daily minimum is recorded.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 18?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 18?
27°C 35%
26°C 27%
28°C 21%
25°C 14%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 18, 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
14%
26°C
27%
27°C
35%
28°C
21%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 35%
26°C 27%
28°C 21%
25°C 14%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 18, 2026
23°C or below
$11 KL.
1%
24°C
$178 KL.
3%
25°C
$248 KL.
14%
26°C
$88 KL.
27%
27°C
$100 KL.
35%
28°C
$124 KL.
21%
29°C
$53 KL.
3%
30°C
$22 KL.
2%
31°C
$16 KL.
<1%
32°C
$43 KL.
<1%
33°C or higher
$628 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current model consensus from the Hong Kong Observatory points to overnight lows of 27–28°C on August 18 amid persistent subtropical high humidity and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Typical August climatology features mean minimums near 26°C, but above-normal seasonal temperatures and weak monsoon influences currently favor slightly warmer readings, creating tight market clustering around 26–27°C. Key variables differentiating outcomes include variable cloud cover, localized wind shifts, and urban heat retention, with new forecast updates expected to sharpen resolution before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,512Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current model consensus from the Hong Kong Observatory points to overnight lows of 27–28°C on August 18 amid persistent subtropical high humidity and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Typical August climatology features mean minimums near 26°C, but above-normal seasonal temperatures and weak monsoon influences currently favor slightly warmer readings, creating tight market clustering around 26–27°C. Key variables differentiating outcomes include variable cloud cover, localized wind shifts, and urban heat retention, with new forecast updates expected to sharpen resolution before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$1,512Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current model consensus from the Hong Kong Observatory points to overnight lows of 27–28°C on August 18 amid persistent subtropical high humidity and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Typical August climatology features mean minimums near 26°C, but above-normal seasonal temperatures and weak monsoon influences currently favor slightly warmer readings, creating tight market clustering around 26–27°C. Key variables differentiating outcomes include variable cloud cover, localized wind shifts, and urban heat retention, with new forecast updates expected to sharpen resolution before the daily minimum is recorded.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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