Current forecast models project Shanghai's overnight low on August 20 near 26–27°C, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on 27°C (53.5%) and 28°C (29%). Seasonal norms place late-August lows around 25–26°C amid high humidity and monsoon influences, while scattered thunderstorms and increasing cloud cover reduce radiative cooling and moderate extremes. Recent observations show consistent overnight readings of 25–26°C with no major typhoon or cold-air intrusion signals. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models will refine these projections over the next 48 hours, though inherent uncertainty in short-range convective activity keeps secondary outcomes like 26°C (15%) in play.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 20?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 20?
27°C 54%
28°C 26%
26°C 13%
25°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 20, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
6%
26°C
13%
27°C
54%
28°C
26%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 54%
28°C 26%
26°C 13%
25°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 20, 2026
22°C or below
$5 KL.
<1%
23°C
$5 KL.
1%
24°C
$10 KL.
5%
25°C
$0 KL.
6%
26°C
$40 KL.
13%
27°C
$16 KL.
54%
28°C
$22 KL.
26%
29°C
$0 KL.
5%
30°C
$41 KL.
1%
31°C
$5 KL.
1%
32°C or higher
$5 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models project Shanghai's overnight low on August 20 near 26–27°C, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on 27°C (53.5%) and 28°C (29%). Seasonal norms place late-August lows around 25–26°C amid high humidity and monsoon influences, while scattered thunderstorms and increasing cloud cover reduce radiative cooling and moderate extremes. Recent observations show consistent overnight readings of 25–26°C with no major typhoon or cold-air intrusion signals. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models will refine these projections over the next 48 hours, though inherent uncertainty in short-range convective activity keeps secondary outcomes like 26°C (15%) in play.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Khối lượng
$149Ngày kết thúc
Aug 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models project Shanghai's overnight low on August 20 near 26–27°C, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on 27°C (53.5%) and 28°C (29%). Seasonal norms place late-August lows around 25–26°C amid high humidity and monsoon influences, while scattered thunderstorms and increasing cloud cover reduce radiative cooling and moderate extremes. Recent observations show consistent overnight readings of 25–26°C with no major typhoon or cold-air intrusion signals. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models will refine these projections over the next 48 hours, though inherent uncertainty in short-range convective activity keeps secondary outcomes like 26°C (15%) in play.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$149Ngày kết thúc
Aug 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models project Shanghai's overnight low on August 20 near 26–27°C, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on 27°C (53.5%) and 28°C (29%). Seasonal norms place late-August lows around 25–26°C amid high humidity and monsoon influences, while scattered thunderstorms and increasing cloud cover reduce radiative cooling and moderate extremes. Recent observations show consistent overnight readings of 25–26°C with no major typhoon or cold-air intrusion signals. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models will refine these projections over the next 48 hours, though inherent uncertainty in short-range convective activity keeps secondary outcomes like 26°C (15%) in play.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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