Recent forecasts from sources like Weather25 and local observatories point to a daily high near 31–32°C for Shanghai on August 20, 2026, amid persistent summer humidity and scattered showers or overcast skies that limit solar heating. Trader emphasis on 30–31°C outcomes reflects model consensus for moderating cloud cover and light precipitation reducing peak insolation, while the narrower spread to 32°C accounts for potential brief clear intervals or urban heat effects. Key variables include steering winds from the East China Sea, atmospheric moisture levels influencing convective activity, and the precise timing of any frontal passages—all of which can shift the maximum by 1–2°C in short-range guidance. Historical August baselines near 30–32°C further anchor sentiment, with resolution hinging on official station readings amid typical model uncertainty this close to the date.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 20?
30°C 36%
31°C 33%
32°C 14%
29°C 12%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
12%
30°C
36%
31°C
33%
32°C
14%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 36%
31°C 33%
32°C 14%
29°C 12%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
12%
30°C
36%
31°C
33%
32°C
14%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like Weather25 and local observatories point to a daily high near 31–32°C for Shanghai on August 20, 2026, amid persistent summer humidity and scattered showers or overcast skies that limit solar heating. Trader emphasis on 30–31°C outcomes reflects model consensus for moderating cloud cover and light precipitation reducing peak insolation, while the narrower spread to 32°C accounts for potential brief clear intervals or urban heat effects. Key variables include steering winds from the East China Sea, atmospheric moisture levels influencing convective activity, and the precise timing of any frontal passages—all of which can shift the maximum by 1–2°C in short-range guidance. Historical August baselines near 30–32°C further anchor sentiment, with resolution hinging on official station readings amid typical model uncertainty this close to the date.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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