Current ensemble forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC place Wuhan's August 21 maximum near 34–35 °C under partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly flow, and a chance of afternoon thundery showers. These conditions align with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 34–36 °C, as modest variations in simulated cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture can suppress or permit an extra degree of surface heating. Historical late-August climatology for the region shows typical daily maxima of 30–33 °C, so traders weigh the potential for brief clear spells or delayed convection that could push readings higher against the usual humid, convective regime. Updated short-range model guidance expected within the next 24 hours will likely refine the range ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 21?
35°C 44%
36°C 32%
34°C 25%
33°C 18%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
7%
33°C
12%
34°C
25%
35°C
30%
36°C
32%
37°C
11%
38°C
7%
39°C or higher
3%
35°C 44%
36°C 32%
34°C 25%
33°C 18%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
7%
33°C
12%
34°C
25%
35°C
30%
36°C
32%
37°C
11%
38°C
7%
39°C or higher
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC place Wuhan's August 21 maximum near 34–35 °C under partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly flow, and a chance of afternoon thundery showers. These conditions align with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 34–36 °C, as modest variations in simulated cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture can suppress or permit an extra degree of surface heating. Historical late-August climatology for the region shows typical daily maxima of 30–33 °C, so traders weigh the potential for brief clear spells or delayed convection that could push readings higher against the usual humid, convective regime. Updated short-range model guidance expected within the next 24 hours will likely refine the range ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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