Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for August 18 points to moderate onshore flow and a persistent marine layer moderating coastal Los Angeles temperatures, keeping official station highs clustered in the mid-70s to low-80s. This setup explains the tightly matched market-implied probabilities across the 74–83°F bins, as sea-breeze timing and low-cloud coverage introduce day-of variability that broader interior heating cannot fully overcome. Historical August averages near 84°F downtown provide context, yet current upper-level trough influences and recent cooling trends support the observed trader consensus around these central outcomes rather than extremes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 18?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 18?
78-79°F 53%
80-81°F 23%
76-77°F 18%
74-75°F 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 18, 2026
71°F or below
1%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
18%
78-79°F
53%
80-81°F
23%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
1%
78-79°F 53%
80-81°F 23%
76-77°F 18%
74-75°F 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 18, 2026
71°F or below
$10 KL.
1%
72-73°F
$5 KL.
4%
74-75°F
$5 KL.
8%
76-77°F
$63 KL.
18%
78-79°F
$410 KL.
53%
80-81°F
$6 KL.
23%
82-83°F
$5 KL.
7%
84-85°F
$5 KL.
6%
86-87°F
$10 KL.
4%
88-89°F
$10 KL.
1%
90°F or higher
$10 KL.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for August 18 points to moderate onshore flow and a persistent marine layer moderating coastal Los Angeles temperatures, keeping official station highs clustered in the mid-70s to low-80s. This setup explains the tightly matched market-implied probabilities across the 74–83°F bins, as sea-breeze timing and low-cloud coverage introduce day-of variability that broader interior heating cannot fully overcome. Historical August averages near 84°F downtown provide context, yet current upper-level trough influences and recent cooling trends support the observed trader consensus around these central outcomes rather than extremes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Khối lượng
$539Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for August 18 points to moderate onshore flow and a persistent marine layer moderating coastal Los Angeles temperatures, keeping official station highs clustered in the mid-70s to low-80s. This setup explains the tightly matched market-implied probabilities across the 74–83°F bins, as sea-breeze timing and low-cloud coverage introduce day-of variability that broader interior heating cannot fully overcome. Historical August averages near 84°F downtown provide context, yet current upper-level trough influences and recent cooling trends support the observed trader consensus around these central outcomes rather than extremes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$539Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for August 18 points to moderate onshore flow and a persistent marine layer moderating coastal Los Angeles temperatures, keeping official station highs clustered in the mid-70s to low-80s. This setup explains the tightly matched market-implied probabilities across the 74–83°F bins, as sea-breeze timing and low-cloud coverage introduce day-of variability that broader interior heating cannot fully overcome. Historical August averages near 84°F downtown provide context, yet current upper-level trough influences and recent cooling trends support the observed trader consensus around these central outcomes rather than extremes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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