Recent Met Office guidance indicates sunny intervals and a daytime maximum near 24°C in London on August 19, aligning with the market's narrow lead for that outcome. Ensemble models show modest spread due to variable high pressure and limited cloud cover, keeping most runs between 23–25°C while Atlantic moisture could suppress peaks if timing shifts. This short-range forecast window limits major revisions, though afternoon convective development remains a key uncertainty that could nudge the verified maximum at official stations. Historical August variability around the seasonal mean of 21–22°C supports trader clustering near these thresholds ahead of final model runs.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in London on August 19?
Highest temperature in London on August 19?
24°C 39%
23°C 32%
25°C 16%
22°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 19, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
10%
23°C
32%
24°C
39%
25°C
16%
26°C
5%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 39%
23°C 32%
25°C 16%
22°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 19, 2026
20°C or below
$455 KL.
1%
21°C
$240 KL.
4%
22°C
$489 KL.
10%
23°C
$438 KL.
32%
24°C
$595 KL.
39%
25°C
$644 KL.
16%
26°C
$420 KL.
5%
27°C
$241 KL.
1%
28°C
$197 KL.
<1%
29°C
$286 KL.
<1%
30°C or higher
$276 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance indicates sunny intervals and a daytime maximum near 24°C in London on August 19, aligning with the market's narrow lead for that outcome. Ensemble models show modest spread due to variable high pressure and limited cloud cover, keeping most runs between 23–25°C while Atlantic moisture could suppress peaks if timing shifts. This short-range forecast window limits major revisions, though afternoon convective development remains a key uncertainty that could nudge the verified maximum at official stations. Historical August variability around the seasonal mean of 21–22°C supports trader clustering near these thresholds ahead of final model runs.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Khối lượng
$4,281Ngày kết thúc
Aug 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance indicates sunny intervals and a daytime maximum near 24°C in London on August 19, aligning with the market's narrow lead for that outcome. Ensemble models show modest spread due to variable high pressure and limited cloud cover, keeping most runs between 23–25°C while Atlantic moisture could suppress peaks if timing shifts. This short-range forecast window limits major revisions, though afternoon convective development remains a key uncertainty that could nudge the verified maximum at official stations. Historical August variability around the seasonal mean of 21–22°C supports trader clustering near these thresholds ahead of final model runs.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$4,281Ngày kết thúc
Aug 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance indicates sunny intervals and a daytime maximum near 24°C in London on August 19, aligning with the market's narrow lead for that outcome. Ensemble models show modest spread due to variable high pressure and limited cloud cover, keeping most runs between 23–25°C while Atlantic moisture could suppress peaks if timing shifts. This short-range forecast window limits major revisions, though afternoon convective development remains a key uncertainty that could nudge the verified maximum at official stations. Historical August variability around the seasonal mean of 21–22°C supports trader clustering near these thresholds ahead of final model runs.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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