Current National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts point to near-normal highs in the upper 70s to low 80s for Chicago on August 17, aligning with the market's concentration on 80-81°F as the leading outcome. Mid-August climatology averages 82-83°F, but recent model guidance highlights modest cooling influences from variable cloud cover and a possible weak frontal boundary that could limit daytime heating. Traders weigh these factors against the spread in outcomes, noting how small shifts in timing or moisture could push readings into the 76-79°F range or allow brief warming toward 84°F. Official observations from Chicago-area stations will resolve the market once the daily maximum is confirmed.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chicago on August 17?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 17?
80-81°F 33%
78-79°F 26%
76-77°F 16%
82-83°F 16%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 17, 2026
73°F or below
2%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
33%
82-83°F
16%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
1%
80-81°F 33%
78-79°F 26%
76-77°F 16%
82-83°F 16%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 17, 2026
73°F or below
$5 KL.
2%
74-75°F
$0 KL.
4%
76-77°F
$0 KL.
16%
78-79°F
$0 KL.
26%
80-81°F
$158 KL.
33%
82-83°F
$10 KL.
16%
84-85°F
$0 KL.
5%
86-87°F
$0 KL.
3%
88-89°F
$5 KL.
1%
90-91°F
$5 KL.
1%
92°F or higher
$5 KL.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts point to near-normal highs in the upper 70s to low 80s for Chicago on August 17, aligning with the market's concentration on 80-81°F as the leading outcome. Mid-August climatology averages 82-83°F, but recent model guidance highlights modest cooling influences from variable cloud cover and a possible weak frontal boundary that could limit daytime heating. Traders weigh these factors against the spread in outcomes, noting how small shifts in timing or moisture could push readings into the 76-79°F range or allow brief warming toward 84°F. Official observations from Chicago-area stations will resolve the market once the daily maximum is confirmed.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Khối lượng
$188Ngày kết thúc
Aug 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts point to near-normal highs in the upper 70s to low 80s for Chicago on August 17, aligning with the market's concentration on 80-81°F as the leading outcome. Mid-August climatology averages 82-83°F, but recent model guidance highlights modest cooling influences from variable cloud cover and a possible weak frontal boundary that could limit daytime heating. Traders weigh these factors against the spread in outcomes, noting how small shifts in timing or moisture could push readings into the 76-79°F range or allow brief warming toward 84°F. Official observations from Chicago-area stations will resolve the market once the daily maximum is confirmed.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$188Ngày kết thúc
Aug 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts point to near-normal highs in the upper 70s to low 80s for Chicago on August 17, aligning with the market's concentration on 80-81°F as the leading outcome. Mid-August climatology averages 82-83°F, but recent model guidance highlights modest cooling influences from variable cloud cover and a possible weak frontal boundary that could limit daytime heating. Traders weigh these factors against the spread in outcomes, noting how small shifts in timing or moisture could push readings into the 76-79°F range or allow brief warming toward 84°F. Official observations from Chicago-area stations will resolve the market once the daily maximum is confirmed.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp