Current forecast models from NOAA and regional guidance indicate an overnight low in the low 70s°F for New York City on August 17, driven by a stable summer air mass with light winds, moderate humidity, and limited cloud cover that moderates radiative cooling. Typical August climatology shows Central Park or LaGuardia lows averaging near 70°F, with the 72-73°F bin leading at 43% implied probability because recent model runs show minimal frontal influence or dry-air advection that could produce sharper drops. Warmer-than-average monthly outlooks reinforce this positioning without major shifts expected before resolution, though any last-minute increase in cloudiness or wind could nudge the minimum slightly higher. Traders weigh these factors against historical variability in urban heat retention when assessing the narrow temperature bands.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in NYC on August 17?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 17?
72-73°F 44%
70-71°F 20%
74-75°F 18%
68-69°F 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 17, 2026
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
8%
70-71°F
20%
72-73°F
44%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
3%
80°F or higher
1%
72-73°F 44%
70-71°F 20%
74-75°F 18%
68-69°F 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 17, 2026
61°F or below
$291 KL.
<1%
62-63°F
$5 KL.
<1%
64-65°F
$10 KL.
4%
66-67°F
$0 KL.
4%
68-69°F
$0 KL.
8%
70-71°F
$78 KL.
20%
72-73°F
$23 KL.
44%
74-75°F
$101 KL.
18%
76-77°F
$6 KL.
6%
78-79°F
$55 KL.
3%
80°F or higher
$286 KL.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from NOAA and regional guidance indicate an overnight low in the low 70s°F for New York City on August 17, driven by a stable summer air mass with light winds, moderate humidity, and limited cloud cover that moderates radiative cooling. Typical August climatology shows Central Park or LaGuardia lows averaging near 70°F, with the 72-73°F bin leading at 43% implied probability because recent model runs show minimal frontal influence or dry-air advection that could produce sharper drops. Warmer-than-average monthly outlooks reinforce this positioning without major shifts expected before resolution, though any last-minute increase in cloudiness or wind could nudge the minimum slightly higher. Traders weigh these factors against historical variability in urban heat retention when assessing the narrow temperature bands.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 15, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Khối lượng
$855Ngày kết thúc
Aug 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 15, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from NOAA and regional guidance indicate an overnight low in the low 70s°F for New York City on August 17, driven by a stable summer air mass with light winds, moderate humidity, and limited cloud cover that moderates radiative cooling. Typical August climatology shows Central Park or LaGuardia lows averaging near 70°F, with the 72-73°F bin leading at 43% implied probability because recent model runs show minimal frontal influence or dry-air advection that could produce sharper drops. Warmer-than-average monthly outlooks reinforce this positioning without major shifts expected before resolution, though any last-minute increase in cloudiness or wind could nudge the minimum slightly higher. Traders weigh these factors against historical variability in urban heat retention when assessing the narrow temperature bands.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$855Ngày kết thúc
Aug 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 15, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from NOAA and regional guidance indicate an overnight low in the low 70s°F for New York City on August 17, driven by a stable summer air mass with light winds, moderate humidity, and limited cloud cover that moderates radiative cooling. Typical August climatology shows Central Park or LaGuardia lows averaging near 70°F, with the 72-73°F bin leading at 43% implied probability because recent model runs show minimal frontal influence or dry-air advection that could produce sharper drops. Warmer-than-average monthly outlooks reinforce this positioning without major shifts expected before resolution, though any last-minute increase in cloudiness or wind could nudge the minimum slightly higher. Traders weigh these factors against historical variability in urban heat retention when assessing the narrow temperature bands.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp