Latest Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a high near 32°C for Tokyo on August 21 under increasing cloud cover, supporting the market's emphasis on 31°C and 32°C outcomes amid above-normal summer temperatures driven by a strong Pacific High. Typical August climatology features daytime peaks of 30–35°C with high humidity, though variable cloudiness and any steering influences from distant weather systems introduce modest uncertainty around exact maxima. Recent model consensus aligns closely with these trader-implied probabilities, with minimal shifts expected before resolution unless new observational data alters the short-term outlook.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 21?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 21?
31°C 41%
30°C 24%
32°C 24%
29°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 21, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
6%
30°C
24%
31°C
41%
32°C
24%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 41%
30°C 24%
32°C 24%
29°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 21, 2026
25°C or below
$2,250 KL.
<1%
26°C
$1,650 KL.
<1%
27°C
$180 KL.
1%
28°C
$264 KL.
3%
29°C
$137 KL.
6%
30°C
$589 KL.
24%
31°C
$556 KL.
41%
32°C
$888 KL.
24%
33°C
$228 KL.
4%
34°C
$158 KL.
2%
35°C or higher
$351 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a high near 32°C for Tokyo on August 21 under increasing cloud cover, supporting the market's emphasis on 31°C and 32°C outcomes amid above-normal summer temperatures driven by a strong Pacific High. Typical August climatology features daytime peaks of 30–35°C with high humidity, though variable cloudiness and any steering influences from distant weather systems introduce modest uncertainty around exact maxima. Recent model consensus aligns closely with these trader-implied probabilities, with minimal shifts expected before resolution unless new observational data alters the short-term outlook.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$7,252Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a high near 32°C for Tokyo on August 21 under increasing cloud cover, supporting the market's emphasis on 31°C and 32°C outcomes amid above-normal summer temperatures driven by a strong Pacific High. Typical August climatology features daytime peaks of 30–35°C with high humidity, though variable cloudiness and any steering influences from distant weather systems introduce modest uncertainty around exact maxima. Recent model consensus aligns closely with these trader-implied probabilities, with minimal shifts expected before resolution unless new observational data alters the short-term outlook.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$7,252Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a high near 32°C for Tokyo on August 21 under increasing cloud cover, supporting the market's emphasis on 31°C and 32°C outcomes amid above-normal summer temperatures driven by a strong Pacific High. Typical August climatology features daytime peaks of 30–35°C with high humidity, though variable cloudiness and any steering influences from distant weather systems introduce modest uncertainty around exact maxima. Recent model consensus aligns closely with these trader-implied probabilities, with minimal shifts expected before resolution unless new observational data alters the short-term outlook.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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