National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts position a daily high near 92–94°F as the most probable outcome for Miami on August 21, reflecting model consensus on southwesterly flow, high humidity, and afternoon thunderstorm development that typically caps afternoon peaks. Recent record heat, including a 100°F reading on August 18, has elevated baseline warmth, yet increasing moisture and sea-breeze effects are expected to moderate temperatures slightly below recent extremes. Market-implied odds favor the 92–95°F bins because ensemble guidance shows limited potential for either strong suppression of convection or extreme heat indices exceeding 96°F. Updated NWS briefings and radar trends through the morning of August 21 will provide the final resolution data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Miami on August 21?
Highest temperature in Miami on August 21?
92-93°F 50%
94-95°F 31%
90-91°F 14%
96-97°F 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 21, 2026
85°F or below
<1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
14%
92-93°F
50%
94-95°F
31%
96-97°F
5%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 50%
94-95°F 31%
90-91°F 14%
96-97°F 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 21, 2026
85°F or below
$201 KL.
<1%
86-87°F
$113 KL.
2%
88-89°F
$167 KL.
4%
90-91°F
$478 KL.
14%
92-93°F
$366 KL.
50%
94-95°F
$381 KL.
31%
96-97°F
$33 KL.
5%
98-99°F
$157 KL.
2%
100-101°F
$52 KL.
<1%
102-103°F
$339 KL.
<1%
104°F or higher
$283 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts position a daily high near 92–94°F as the most probable outcome for Miami on August 21, reflecting model consensus on southwesterly flow, high humidity, and afternoon thunderstorm development that typically caps afternoon peaks. Recent record heat, including a 100°F reading on August 18, has elevated baseline warmth, yet increasing moisture and sea-breeze effects are expected to moderate temperatures slightly below recent extremes. Market-implied odds favor the 92–95°F bins because ensemble guidance shows limited potential for either strong suppression of convection or extreme heat indices exceeding 96°F. Updated NWS briefings and radar trends through the morning of August 21 will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 19, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Khối lượng
$2,570Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 19, 2026, 9:56 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts position a daily high near 92–94°F as the most probable outcome for Miami on August 21, reflecting model consensus on southwesterly flow, high humidity, and afternoon thunderstorm development that typically caps afternoon peaks. Recent record heat, including a 100°F reading on August 18, has elevated baseline warmth, yet increasing moisture and sea-breeze effects are expected to moderate temperatures slightly below recent extremes. Market-implied odds favor the 92–95°F bins because ensemble guidance shows limited potential for either strong suppression of convection or extreme heat indices exceeding 96°F. Updated NWS briefings and radar trends through the morning of August 21 will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,570Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 19, 2026, 9:56 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts position a daily high near 92–94°F as the most probable outcome for Miami on August 21, reflecting model consensus on southwesterly flow, high humidity, and afternoon thunderstorm development that typically caps afternoon peaks. Recent record heat, including a 100°F reading on August 18, has elevated baseline warmth, yet increasing moisture and sea-breeze effects are expected to moderate temperatures slightly below recent extremes. Market-implied odds favor the 92–95°F bins because ensemble guidance shows limited potential for either strong suppression of convection or extreme heat indices exceeding 96°F. Updated NWS briefings and radar trends through the morning of August 21 will provide the final resolution data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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