Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model consensus points to overnight lows of 80–83°F in Miami on August 21, driven by elevated dew points near 75°F, light southeast winds, and persistent cloud cover that limits radiative cooling under typical late-summer subtropical high pressure. With no strong frontal passage or dry-air intrusion expected, urban heat retention and high humidity anchor temperatures near the 1991–2020 climatological minimum of 78°F, favoring the closely matched 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins that together capture nearly 78% of trader probability. Minor model spread arises from variable thunderstorm timing and boundary-layer moisture, which could nudge the official Miami International Airport reading one degree either way depending on the exact hour of minimum temperature.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Miami on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 21?
82-83°F 40%
80-81°F 38%
86-87°F 10%
84-85°F 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 21, 2026
71°F or below
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
38%
82-83°F
40%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
10%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
1%
82-83°F 40%
80-81°F 38%
86-87°F 10%
84-85°F 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 21, 2026
71°F or below
$37 KL.
1%
72-73°F
$36 KL.
1%
74-75°F
$36 KL.
1%
76-77°F
$17 KL.
6%
78-79°F
$0 KL.
7%
80-81°F
$84 KL.
38%
82-83°F
$499 KL.
40%
84-85°F
$0 KL.
9%
86-87°F
$15 KL.
10%
88-89°F
$5 KL.
1%
90°F or higher
$0 KL.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model consensus points to overnight lows of 80–83°F in Miami on August 21, driven by elevated dew points near 75°F, light southeast winds, and persistent cloud cover that limits radiative cooling under typical late-summer subtropical high pressure. With no strong frontal passage or dry-air intrusion expected, urban heat retention and high humidity anchor temperatures near the 1991–2020 climatological minimum of 78°F, favoring the closely matched 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins that together capture nearly 78% of trader probability. Minor model spread arises from variable thunderstorm timing and boundary-layer moisture, which could nudge the official Miami International Airport reading one degree either way depending on the exact hour of minimum temperature.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 19, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Khối lượng
$728Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 19, 2026, 9:28 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model consensus points to overnight lows of 80–83°F in Miami on August 21, driven by elevated dew points near 75°F, light southeast winds, and persistent cloud cover that limits radiative cooling under typical late-summer subtropical high pressure. With no strong frontal passage or dry-air intrusion expected, urban heat retention and high humidity anchor temperatures near the 1991–2020 climatological minimum of 78°F, favoring the closely matched 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins that together capture nearly 78% of trader probability. Minor model spread arises from variable thunderstorm timing and boundary-layer moisture, which could nudge the official Miami International Airport reading one degree either way depending on the exact hour of minimum temperature.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$728Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 19, 2026, 9:28 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model consensus points to overnight lows of 80–83°F in Miami on August 21, driven by elevated dew points near 75°F, light southeast winds, and persistent cloud cover that limits radiative cooling under typical late-summer subtropical high pressure. With no strong frontal passage or dry-air intrusion expected, urban heat retention and high humidity anchor temperatures near the 1991–2020 climatological minimum of 78°F, favoring the closely matched 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins that together capture nearly 78% of trader probability. Minor model spread arises from variable thunderstorm timing and boundary-layer moisture, which could nudge the official Miami International Airport reading one degree either way depending on the exact hour of minimum temperature.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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