Miami's subtropical climate produces minimal overnight cooling in late August, with average lows near 78–80°F driven by high humidity, warm Gulf Stream waters, and typical calm winds that limit radiative heat loss. Current forecasts from NOAA and AccuWeather for August 20 place overnight minima between 78–81°F under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers, aligning closely with historical ranges where daily lows rarely fall below 74°F or exceed 82°F. These conditions underpin the market's heavy weighting toward 80–81°F and 78–79°F outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on persistent seasonal patterns rather than anomalous cooling from fronts or increased cloud cover. Updated model runs and local observations will refine probabilities as the evening progresses.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Miami on August 20?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 20?
80-81°F 47%
78-79°F 32%
82-83°F 14%
76-77°F 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 20, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
32%
80-81°F
47%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 47%
78-79°F 32%
82-83°F 14%
76-77°F 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 20, 2026
71°F or below
$750 KL.
<1%
72-73°F
$265 KL.
1%
74-75°F
$229 KL.
2%
76-77°F
$105 KL.
6%
78-79°F
$78 KL.
32%
80-81°F
$133 KL.
47%
82-83°F
$271 KL.
14%
84-85°F
$285 KL.
3%
86-87°F
$22 KL.
1%
88-89°F
$660 KL.
<1%
90°F or higher
$746 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Miami's subtropical climate produces minimal overnight cooling in late August, with average lows near 78–80°F driven by high humidity, warm Gulf Stream waters, and typical calm winds that limit radiative heat loss. Current forecasts from NOAA and AccuWeather for August 20 place overnight minima between 78–81°F under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers, aligning closely with historical ranges where daily lows rarely fall below 74°F or exceed 82°F. These conditions underpin the market's heavy weighting toward 80–81°F and 78–79°F outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on persistent seasonal patterns rather than anomalous cooling from fronts or increased cloud cover. Updated model runs and local observations will refine probabilities as the evening progresses.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 18, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Khối lượng
$3,544Ngày kết thúc
Aug 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 18, 2026, 9:28 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Miami's subtropical climate produces minimal overnight cooling in late August, with average lows near 78–80°F driven by high humidity, warm Gulf Stream waters, and typical calm winds that limit radiative heat loss. Current forecasts from NOAA and AccuWeather for August 20 place overnight minima between 78–81°F under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers, aligning closely with historical ranges where daily lows rarely fall below 74°F or exceed 82°F. These conditions underpin the market's heavy weighting toward 80–81°F and 78–79°F outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on persistent seasonal patterns rather than anomalous cooling from fronts or increased cloud cover. Updated model runs and local observations will refine probabilities as the evening progresses.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$3,544Ngày kết thúc
Aug 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 18, 2026, 9:28 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Miami's subtropical climate produces minimal overnight cooling in late August, with average lows near 78–80°F driven by high humidity, warm Gulf Stream waters, and typical calm winds that limit radiative heat loss. Current forecasts from NOAA and AccuWeather for August 20 place overnight minima between 78–81°F under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers, aligning closely with historical ranges where daily lows rarely fall below 74°F or exceed 82°F. These conditions underpin the market's heavy weighting toward 80–81°F and 78–79°F outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on persistent seasonal patterns rather than anomalous cooling from fronts or increased cloud cover. Updated model runs and local observations will refine probabilities as the evening progresses.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp