Latest National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami on August 20 point to a hot, humid setup with forecast highs near 91–95°F, creating tight market-implied odds between the 92–93°F and 94–95°F bins. Afternoon sea-breeze convergence and scattered thunderstorms, typical for late-summer South Florida, introduce the main uncertainty by limiting peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent days have featured above-normal heat with highs reaching the mid-90s amid weak steering flow, but any earlier or stronger convection tomorrow could cap readings closer to 92–93°F, while clearer conditions would favor the upper bin. Traders weigh these variables against climatological norms around 91°F and ongoing heat-index values above 105°F.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Miami on August 20?
Highest temperature in Miami on August 20?
92-93°F 46%
94-95°F 42%
96-97°F 9%
90-91°F 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 20, 2026
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
46%
94-95°F
42%
96-97°F
9%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 46%
94-95°F 42%
96-97°F 9%
90-91°F 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 20, 2026
83°F or below
$125 KL.
<1%
84-85°F
$362 KL.
<1%
86-87°F
$392 KL.
1%
88-89°F
$307 KL.
1%
90-91°F
$926 KL.
6%
92-93°F
$874 KL.
46%
94-95°F
$943 KL.
42%
96-97°F
$1,407 KL.
9%
98-99°F
$272 KL.
1%
100-101°F
$93 KL.
<1%
102°F or higher
$45 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami on August 20 point to a hot, humid setup with forecast highs near 91–95°F, creating tight market-implied odds between the 92–93°F and 94–95°F bins. Afternoon sea-breeze convergence and scattered thunderstorms, typical for late-summer South Florida, introduce the main uncertainty by limiting peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent days have featured above-normal heat with highs reaching the mid-90s amid weak steering flow, but any earlier or stronger convection tomorrow could cap readings closer to 92–93°F, while clearer conditions would favor the upper bin. Traders weigh these variables against climatological norms around 91°F and ongoing heat-index values above 105°F.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 18, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Khối lượng
$5,746Ngày kết thúc
Aug 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 18, 2026, 9:56 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami on August 20 point to a hot, humid setup with forecast highs near 91–95°F, creating tight market-implied odds between the 92–93°F and 94–95°F bins. Afternoon sea-breeze convergence and scattered thunderstorms, typical for late-summer South Florida, introduce the main uncertainty by limiting peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent days have featured above-normal heat with highs reaching the mid-90s amid weak steering flow, but any earlier or stronger convection tomorrow could cap readings closer to 92–93°F, while clearer conditions would favor the upper bin. Traders weigh these variables against climatological norms around 91°F and ongoing heat-index values above 105°F.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$5,746Ngày kết thúc
Aug 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 18, 2026, 9:56 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami on August 20 point to a hot, humid setup with forecast highs near 91–95°F, creating tight market-implied odds between the 92–93°F and 94–95°F bins. Afternoon sea-breeze convergence and scattered thunderstorms, typical for late-summer South Florida, introduce the main uncertainty by limiting peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent days have featured above-normal heat with highs reaching the mid-90s amid weak steering flow, but any earlier or stronger convection tomorrow could cap readings closer to 92–93°F, while clearer conditions would favor the upper bin. Traders weigh these variables against climatological norms around 91°F and ongoing heat-index values above 105°F.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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