Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts indicate a minimum of 13°C for London on August 20 amid a cooling trend, with westerly flow advecting fresher maritime air and scattered showers suppressing nighttime radiative cooling. This follows several days of milder 15–17°C lows under higher pressure, but model consensus now favors clearer skies overnight that could allow temperatures to dip toward 12–14°C depending on cloud cover and wind speed. The market's concentration on 15–16°C reflects trader weighting of ensemble variability and historical August minima near 14°C, while lower probabilities on 13°C or below acknowledge potential for modest revisions in the final 48-hour runs before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in London on August 20?
Lowest temperature in London on August 20?
15°C 47%
16°C 32%
14°C 16%
12°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 20, 2026
10°C or below
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
8%
13°C
5%
14°C
16%
15°C
47%
16°C
32%
17°C
5%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 47%
16°C 32%
14°C 16%
12°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 20, 2026
10°C or below
$0 KL.
1%
11°C
$0 KL.
1%
12°C
$5 KL.
8%
13°C
$0 KL.
5%
14°C
$7 KL.
16%
15°C
$14 KL.
47%
16°C
$25 KL.
32%
17°C
$5 KL.
5%
18°C
$0 KL.
1%
19°C
$50 KL.
1%
20°C or higher
$5 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts indicate a minimum of 13°C for London on August 20 amid a cooling trend, with westerly flow advecting fresher maritime air and scattered showers suppressing nighttime radiative cooling. This follows several days of milder 15–17°C lows under higher pressure, but model consensus now favors clearer skies overnight that could allow temperatures to dip toward 12–14°C depending on cloud cover and wind speed. The market's concentration on 15–16°C reflects trader weighting of ensemble variability and historical August minima near 14°C, while lower probabilities on 13°C or below acknowledge potential for modest revisions in the final 48-hour runs before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Khối lượng
$111Ngày kết thúc
Aug 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts indicate a minimum of 13°C for London on August 20 amid a cooling trend, with westerly flow advecting fresher maritime air and scattered showers suppressing nighttime radiative cooling. This follows several days of milder 15–17°C lows under higher pressure, but model consensus now favors clearer skies overnight that could allow temperatures to dip toward 12–14°C depending on cloud cover and wind speed. The market's concentration on 15–16°C reflects trader weighting of ensemble variability and historical August minima near 14°C, while lower probabilities on 13°C or below acknowledge potential for modest revisions in the final 48-hour runs before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$111Ngày kết thúc
Aug 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts indicate a minimum of 13°C for London on August 20 amid a cooling trend, with westerly flow advecting fresher maritime air and scattered showers suppressing nighttime radiative cooling. This follows several days of milder 15–17°C lows under higher pressure, but model consensus now favors clearer skies overnight that could allow temperatures to dip toward 12–14°C depending on cloud cover and wind speed. The market's concentration on 15–16°C reflects trader weighting of ensemble variability and historical August minima near 14°C, while lower probabilities on 13°C or below acknowledge potential for modest revisions in the final 48-hour runs before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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