Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance shows Los Angeles overnight lows centered near 68–72°F on August 22, with ensemble spreads producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 66–73°F. Marine-layer depth, coastal stratus timing, and light onshore flow are the dominant variables; stronger sea breezes or earlier fog could push the minimum toward 66–67°F, while clearer skies and reduced humidity favor 70–73°F. Short-range forecast uncertainty remains high because boundary-layer moisture and local wind patterns can shift several degrees within hours, keeping the four leading bins separated by just one percentage point.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 22?
68-69°F 54%
70-71°F 28%
66-67°F 27%
72-73°F 27%
57°F or below
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
13%
66-67°F
27%
68-69°F
29%
70-71°F
28%
72-73°F
27%
74-75°F
12%
76°F or higher
1%
68-69°F 54%
70-71°F 28%
66-67°F 27%
72-73°F 27%
57°F or below
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
13%
66-67°F
27%
68-69°F
29%
70-71°F
28%
72-73°F
27%
74-75°F
12%
76°F or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance shows Los Angeles overnight lows centered near 68–72°F on August 22, with ensemble spreads producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 66–73°F. Marine-layer depth, coastal stratus timing, and light onshore flow are the dominant variables; stronger sea breezes or earlier fog could push the minimum toward 66–67°F, while clearer skies and reduced humidity favor 70–73°F. Short-range forecast uncertainty remains high because boundary-layer moisture and local wind patterns can shift several degrees within hours, keeping the four leading bins separated by just one percentage point.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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