Official Met Office forecasts project a minimum nighttime temperature of 12°C for London on August 21, 2026, amid a cooling trend with daytime highs near 21°C and increased shower risk. This aligns closely with trader consensus favoring 13°C (42.5% implied probability) or 14°C (29.5%), reflecting typical late-August climatology where overnight lows average 13–14°C but dip under fresher Atlantic-influenced conditions. Ensemble models show limited spread around these values, with lower probabilities for extremes like 12°C or below driven by uncertainty in exact timing of cloud cover and wind patterns that moderate radiative cooling. Updated guidance highlights the shift from earlier mild conditions, supporting the current market positioning ahead of final observational data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in London on August 21?
Lowest temperature in London on August 21?
13°C 43%
14°C 30%
12°C 13%
11°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 21, 2026
8°C or below
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
7%
11°C
9%
12°C
13%
13°C
43%
14°C
30%
15°C
9%
16°C
7%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
1%
13°C 43%
14°C 30%
12°C 13%
11°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 21, 2026
8°C or below
$1,153 KL.
1%
9°C
$5 KL.
1%
10°C
$0 KL.
7%
11°C
$0 KL.
9%
12°C
$20 KL.
13%
13°C
$102 KL.
43%
14°C
$53 KL.
30%
15°C
$5 KL.
9%
16°C
$26 KL.
7%
17°C
$0 KL.
1%
18°C or higher
$0 KL.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office forecasts project a minimum nighttime temperature of 12°C for London on August 21, 2026, amid a cooling trend with daytime highs near 21°C and increased shower risk. This aligns closely with trader consensus favoring 13°C (42.5% implied probability) or 14°C (29.5%), reflecting typical late-August climatology where overnight lows average 13–14°C but dip under fresher Atlantic-influenced conditions. Ensemble models show limited spread around these values, with lower probabilities for extremes like 12°C or below driven by uncertainty in exact timing of cloud cover and wind patterns that moderate radiative cooling. Updated guidance highlights the shift from earlier mild conditions, supporting the current market positioning ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,365Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office forecasts project a minimum nighttime temperature of 12°C for London on August 21, 2026, amid a cooling trend with daytime highs near 21°C and increased shower risk. This aligns closely with trader consensus favoring 13°C (42.5% implied probability) or 14°C (29.5%), reflecting typical late-August climatology where overnight lows average 13–14°C but dip under fresher Atlantic-influenced conditions. Ensemble models show limited spread around these values, with lower probabilities for extremes like 12°C or below driven by uncertainty in exact timing of cloud cover and wind patterns that moderate radiative cooling. Updated guidance highlights the shift from earlier mild conditions, supporting the current market positioning ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,365Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Met Office forecasts project a minimum nighttime temperature of 12°C for London on August 21, 2026, amid a cooling trend with daytime highs near 21°C and increased shower risk. This aligns closely with trader consensus favoring 13°C (42.5% implied probability) or 14°C (29.5%), reflecting typical late-August climatology where overnight lows average 13–14°C but dip under fresher Atlantic-influenced conditions. Ensemble models show limited spread around these values, with lower probabilities for extremes like 12°C or below driven by uncertainty in exact timing of cloud cover and wind patterns that moderate radiative cooling. Updated guidance highlights the shift from earlier mild conditions, supporting the current market positioning ahead of final observational data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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