Panama City's August climatology, shaped by the Intertropical Convergence Zone and prevailing moist trade winds during the rainy season, positions daily highs near 29–30°C with limited diurnal extremes due to persistent cloud cover and high humidity that reduces solar heating. These factors explain why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 31–33°C for August 22, with 32°C leading at 42.5%. Recent model guidance and seasonal analogs show typical afternoon convection further capping peaks, making 34°C or higher less probable at just 11% combined. Official monitoring from regional meteorological services will provide the final observational maximum used for resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Panama City on August 22?
Highest temperature in Panama City on August 22?
32°C 43%
33°C 25%
31°C 25%
30°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 22, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
9%
31°C
25%
32°C
43%
33°C
25%
34°C
6%
35°C or higher
4%
32°C 43%
33°C 25%
31°C 25%
30°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 22, 2026
25°C or below
$107 KL.
<1%
26°C
$102 KL.
<1%
27°C
$83 KL.
<1%
28°C
$46 KL.
1%
29°C
$107 KL.
2%
30°C
$82 KL.
9%
31°C
$94 KL.
25%
32°C
$18 KL.
43%
33°C
$184 KL.
25%
34°C
$68 KL.
6%
35°C or higher
$57 KL.
4%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Panama City's August climatology, shaped by the Intertropical Convergence Zone and prevailing moist trade winds during the rainy season, positions daily highs near 29–30°C with limited diurnal extremes due to persistent cloud cover and high humidity that reduces solar heating. These factors explain why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 31–33°C for August 22, with 32°C leading at 42.5%. Recent model guidance and seasonal analogs show typical afternoon convection further capping peaks, making 34°C or higher less probable at just 11% combined. Official monitoring from regional meteorological services will provide the final observational maximum used for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 20, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Khối lượng
$947Ngày kết thúc
Aug 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 8:57 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Panama City's August climatology, shaped by the Intertropical Convergence Zone and prevailing moist trade winds during the rainy season, positions daily highs near 29–30°C with limited diurnal extremes due to persistent cloud cover and high humidity that reduces solar heating. These factors explain why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 31–33°C for August 22, with 32°C leading at 42.5%. Recent model guidance and seasonal analogs show typical afternoon convection further capping peaks, making 34°C or higher less probable at just 11% combined. Official monitoring from regional meteorological services will provide the final observational maximum used for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$947Ngày kết thúc
Aug 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 8:57 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Panama City's August climatology, shaped by the Intertropical Convergence Zone and prevailing moist trade winds during the rainy season, positions daily highs near 29–30°C with limited diurnal extremes due to persistent cloud cover and high humidity that reduces solar heating. These factors explain why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 31–33°C for August 22, with 32°C leading at 42.5%. Recent model guidance and seasonal analogs show typical afternoon convection further capping peaks, making 34°C or higher less probable at just 11% combined. Official monitoring from regional meteorological services will provide the final observational maximum used for resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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