Forecast models from agencies like AEMET and international ensembles point to a minimum near 18–19 °C overnight in Madrid on 21 August, driven by clear skies, light westerly flow, and efficient nocturnal radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure ridge. With dew points around 13–14 °C and minimal cloud cover, surface temperatures are expected to fall steadily after sunset, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological low of 18.9 °C for the date. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects keeps the 17–20 °C range tightly contested in trader positioning, while probabilities for extremes below 16 °C or above 22 °C remain negligible absent any unexpected frontal passage or increased humidity. Updated short-range guidance later today will refine the exact minimum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Madrid on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Madrid on August 21?
19°C 34%
20°C 33%
17°C 27%
18°C 27%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 21, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
7%
16°C
25%
17°C
27%
18°C
27%
19°C
34%
20°C
28%
21°C
10%
22°C
10%
23°C
11%
24°C or higher
1%
19°C 34%
20°C 33%
17°C 27%
18°C 27%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 21, 2026
14°C or below
$90 KL.
<1%
15°C
$109 KL.
7%
16°C
$89 KL.
25%
17°C
$0 KL.
27%
18°C
$1 KL.
27%
19°C
$0 KL.
34%
20°C
$30 KL.
28%
21°C
$0 KL.
10%
22°C
$0 KL.
10%
23°C
$22 KL.
11%
24°C or higher
$37 KL.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like AEMET and international ensembles point to a minimum near 18–19 °C overnight in Madrid on 21 August, driven by clear skies, light westerly flow, and efficient nocturnal radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure ridge. With dew points around 13–14 °C and minimal cloud cover, surface temperatures are expected to fall steadily after sunset, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological low of 18.9 °C for the date. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects keeps the 17–20 °C range tightly contested in trader positioning, while probabilities for extremes below 16 °C or above 22 °C remain negligible absent any unexpected frontal passage or increased humidity. Updated short-range guidance later today will refine the exact minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Khối lượng
$378Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like AEMET and international ensembles point to a minimum near 18–19 °C overnight in Madrid on 21 August, driven by clear skies, light westerly flow, and efficient nocturnal radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure ridge. With dew points around 13–14 °C and minimal cloud cover, surface temperatures are expected to fall steadily after sunset, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological low of 18.9 °C for the date. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects keeps the 17–20 °C range tightly contested in trader positioning, while probabilities for extremes below 16 °C or above 22 °C remain negligible absent any unexpected frontal passage or increased humidity. Updated short-range guidance later today will refine the exact minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$378Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like AEMET and international ensembles point to a minimum near 18–19 °C overnight in Madrid on 21 August, driven by clear skies, light westerly flow, and efficient nocturnal radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure ridge. With dew points around 13–14 °C and minimal cloud cover, surface temperatures are expected to fall steadily after sunset, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological low of 18.9 °C for the date. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects keeps the 17–20 °C range tightly contested in trader positioning, while probabilities for extremes below 16 °C or above 22 °C remain negligible absent any unexpected frontal passage or increased humidity. Updated short-range guidance later today will refine the exact minimum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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