Recent forecast models from sources like the Met Office and timeanddate indicate overnight lows in Amsterdam near 11–12°C on August 22, 2026, under a pattern of passing showers and broken cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Trader positioning around 13°C and 14°C reflects this consensus, while the notable share for 8°C or below captures potential for stronger nocturnal cooling if clearer skies develop or cooler maritime air advects in. Key differentiating factors include wind speeds modulating boundary-layer mixing, exact timing of any frontal passage, and model spread in minimum temperature guidance, typical for late-summer variability when daily ranges narrow around seasonal averages of 12–15°C. Updated runs from European and global ensembles will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 22?
13°C 41%
14°C 39%
12°C 24%
8°C or below 18%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 22, 2026
8°C or below
18%
9°C
8%
10°C
9%
11°C
10%
12°C
24%
13°C
41%
14°C
39%
15°C
11%
16°C
7%
17°C
8%
18°C or higher
17%
13°C 41%
14°C 39%
12°C 24%
8°C or below 18%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 22, 2026
8°C or below
$5 KL.
18%
9°C
$0 KL.
8%
10°C
$0 KL.
9%
11°C
$0 KL.
10%
12°C
$0 KL.
24%
13°C
$0 KL.
41%
14°C
$0 KL.
39%
15°C
$0 KL.
11%
16°C
$0 KL.
7%
17°C
$0 KL.
8%
18°C or higher
$5 KL.
17%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the Met Office and timeanddate indicate overnight lows in Amsterdam near 11–12°C on August 22, 2026, under a pattern of passing showers and broken cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Trader positioning around 13°C and 14°C reflects this consensus, while the notable share for 8°C or below captures potential for stronger nocturnal cooling if clearer skies develop or cooler maritime air advects in. Key differentiating factors include wind speeds modulating boundary-layer mixing, exact timing of any frontal passage, and model spread in minimum temperature guidance, typical for late-summer variability when daily ranges narrow around seasonal averages of 12–15°C. Updated runs from European and global ensembles will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ET
Khối lượng
$10Ngày kết thúc
Aug 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the Met Office and timeanddate indicate overnight lows in Amsterdam near 11–12°C on August 22, 2026, under a pattern of passing showers and broken cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Trader positioning around 13°C and 14°C reflects this consensus, while the notable share for 8°C or below captures potential for stronger nocturnal cooling if clearer skies develop or cooler maritime air advects in. Key differentiating factors include wind speeds modulating boundary-layer mixing, exact timing of any frontal passage, and model spread in minimum temperature guidance, typical for late-summer variability when daily ranges narrow around seasonal averages of 12–15°C. Updated runs from European and global ensembles will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$10Ngày kết thúc
Aug 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like the Met Office and timeanddate indicate overnight lows in Amsterdam near 11–12°C on August 22, 2026, under a pattern of passing showers and broken cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Trader positioning around 13°C and 14°C reflects this consensus, while the notable share for 8°C or below captures potential for stronger nocturnal cooling if clearer skies develop or cooler maritime air advects in. Key differentiating factors include wind speeds modulating boundary-layer mixing, exact timing of any frontal passage, and model spread in minimum temperature guidance, typical for late-summer variability when daily ranges narrow around seasonal averages of 12–15°C. Updated runs from European and global ensembles will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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