Recent forecasts from major agencies indicate overnight lows in Wuhan near 25–28°C on August 22, driven by typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity and light northerly winds that limit radiative cooling after daytime highs around 34–35°C. Model consensus supports minimum temperatures clustering in the mid- to upper-20s Celsius, consistent with historical August averages near 27°C, though scattered cloud cover or brief showers could enhance or suppress overnight drops by a degree or two. Market-implied odds reflect this tight range, with traders weighing ensemble variability in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns that differentiate outcomes like 26°C versus 27°C. Updated runs from regional models over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise threshold.