Current forecast guidance from regional meteorological models supports a minimum temperature near 26°C in Wuhan on August 21, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions featuring high humidity, limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, and weak pressure gradients that suppress sharp temperature drops. Historical August averages show overnight lows of 25–27°C, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 26°C and 25°C. Recent model updates have maintained this range without signals of stronger cold advection or heavy precipitation that could push readings lower, while the very low probabilities assigned to 23°C or below reflect the unlikelihood of atypical cooling in the current stable pattern. Traders appear to weigh these climatological baselines and short-term stability heavily ahead of final observational data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Wuhan on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on August 21?
24°C 59%
25°C 32%
23°C 18%
22°C or below <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 21, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
18%
24°C
59%
25°C
32%
26°C
63%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
24°C 59%
25°C 32%
23°C 18%
22°C or below <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 21, 2026
22°C or below
$177 KL.
1%
23°C
$144 KL.
18%
24°C
$144 KL.
59%
25°C
$75 KL.
32%
26°C
$163 KL.
63%
27°C
$153 KL.
<1%
28°C
$205 KL.
<1%
29°C
$25 KL.
<1%
30°C
$95 KL.
<1%
31°C
$95 KL.
<1%
32°C or higher
$95 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from regional meteorological models supports a minimum temperature near 26°C in Wuhan on August 21, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions featuring high humidity, limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, and weak pressure gradients that suppress sharp temperature drops. Historical August averages show overnight lows of 25–27°C, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 26°C and 25°C. Recent model updates have maintained this range without signals of stronger cold advection or heavy precipitation that could push readings lower, while the very low probabilities assigned to 23°C or below reflect the unlikelihood of atypical cooling in the current stable pattern. Traders appear to weigh these climatological baselines and short-term stability heavily ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,372Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from regional meteorological models supports a minimum temperature near 26°C in Wuhan on August 21, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions featuring high humidity, limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, and weak pressure gradients that suppress sharp temperature drops. Historical August averages show overnight lows of 25–27°C, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 26°C and 25°C. Recent model updates have maintained this range without signals of stronger cold advection or heavy precipitation that could push readings lower, while the very low probabilities assigned to 23°C or below reflect the unlikelihood of atypical cooling in the current stable pattern. Traders appear to weigh these climatological baselines and short-term stability heavily ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,372Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast guidance from regional meteorological models supports a minimum temperature near 26°C in Wuhan on August 21, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions featuring high humidity, limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, and weak pressure gradients that suppress sharp temperature drops. Historical August averages show overnight lows of 25–27°C, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 26°C and 25°C. Recent model updates have maintained this range without signals of stronger cold advection or heavy precipitation that could push readings lower, while the very low probabilities assigned to 23°C or below reflect the unlikelihood of atypical cooling in the current stable pattern. Traders appear to weigh these climatological baselines and short-term stability heavily ahead of final observational data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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