Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and European models indicate a minimum temperature in Cape Town on August 22 most likely between 9–12°C, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight that enhance radiative cooling under light northerly or variable winds near 2–5 m/s. This aligns with the tightly bunched market odds around 9–11°C, reflecting model consensus on stable high pressure and typical winter conditions in the region’s Mediterranean climate, where dew points near 10–11°C limit further drops. Historical August minima average near 8–9°C, but current runs show limited variability from cloud cover or wind shifts that could push readings slightly higher or lower before resolution. Updated model guidance and local observations tonight will likely refine the exact threshold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Cape Town on August 22?
11°C 32%
10°C 31%
9°C 28%
7°C 26%
6°C or below
2%
7°C
26%
8°C
21%
9°C
28%
10°C
31%
11°C
32%
12°C
26%
13°C
22%
14°C
6%
15°C
7%
16°C or higher
2%
11°C 32%
10°C 31%
9°C 28%
7°C 26%
6°C or below
2%
7°C
26%
8°C
21%
9°C
28%
10°C
31%
11°C
32%
12°C
26%
13°C
22%
14°C
6%
15°C
7%
16°C or higher
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and European models indicate a minimum temperature in Cape Town on August 22 most likely between 9–12°C, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight that enhance radiative cooling under light northerly or variable winds near 2–5 m/s. This aligns with the tightly bunched market odds around 9–11°C, reflecting model consensus on stable high pressure and typical winter conditions in the region’s Mediterranean climate, where dew points near 10–11°C limit further drops. Historical August minima average near 8–9°C, but current runs show limited variability from cloud cover or wind shifts that could push readings slightly higher or lower before resolution. Updated model guidance and local observations tonight will likely refine the exact threshold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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