Forecast models for Warsaw indicate high uncertainty in the overnight minimum temperature for August 22, with ensemble spreads placing the most likely outcomes between 13°C and 15°C amid variable cloud cover, light winds, and modest radiative cooling expected under a typical late-summer high-pressure regime. Historical August lows in the Polish capital average near 14°C, though urban heat island effects at the official measuring station can moderate extremes by 1–2°C. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities reflects genuine model disagreement on exact dew point and boundary-layer conditions rather than any single dominant driver, with resolution determined by verified observations from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS later today may narrow the range ahead of the 24-hour period.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Warsaw on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on August 22?
14°C 30%
13°C 29%
12°C 17%
10°C or below 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 22, 2026
10°C or below
9%
11°C
8%
12°C
17%
13°C
29%
14°C
30%
15°C
31%
16°C
9%
17°C
8%
18°C
3%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
1%
14°C 30%
13°C 29%
12°C 17%
10°C or below 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 22, 2026
10°C or below
$31 KL.
9%
11°C
$8 KL.
8%
12°C
$0 KL.
17%
13°C
$2 KL.
29%
14°C
$0 KL.
30%
15°C
$43 KL.
31%
16°C
$0 KL.
9%
17°C
$0 KL.
8%
18°C
$62 KL.
3%
19°C
$30 KL.
1%
20°C or higher
$30 KL.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Warsaw indicate high uncertainty in the overnight minimum temperature for August 22, with ensemble spreads placing the most likely outcomes between 13°C and 15°C amid variable cloud cover, light winds, and modest radiative cooling expected under a typical late-summer high-pressure regime. Historical August lows in the Polish capital average near 14°C, though urban heat island effects at the official measuring station can moderate extremes by 1–2°C. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities reflects genuine model disagreement on exact dew point and boundary-layer conditions rather than any single dominant driver, with resolution determined by verified observations from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS later today may narrow the range ahead of the 24-hour period.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Khối lượng
$206Ngày kết thúc
Aug 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Warsaw indicate high uncertainty in the overnight minimum temperature for August 22, with ensemble spreads placing the most likely outcomes between 13°C and 15°C amid variable cloud cover, light winds, and modest radiative cooling expected under a typical late-summer high-pressure regime. Historical August lows in the Polish capital average near 14°C, though urban heat island effects at the official measuring station can moderate extremes by 1–2°C. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities reflects genuine model disagreement on exact dew point and boundary-layer conditions rather than any single dominant driver, with resolution determined by verified observations from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS later today may narrow the range ahead of the 24-hour period.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$206Ngày kết thúc
Aug 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Warsaw indicate high uncertainty in the overnight minimum temperature for August 22, with ensemble spreads placing the most likely outcomes between 13°C and 15°C amid variable cloud cover, light winds, and modest radiative cooling expected under a typical late-summer high-pressure regime. Historical August lows in the Polish capital average near 14°C, though urban heat island effects at the official measuring station can moderate extremes by 1–2°C. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities reflects genuine model disagreement on exact dew point and boundary-layer conditions rather than any single dominant driver, with resolution determined by verified observations from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS later today may narrow the range ahead of the 24-hour period.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp