**Current short-range forecasts position Munich's overnight low on August 24 near 7–9 °C**, driven by clear skies and light winds that favor strong radiational cooling after a daytime high around 22 °C. Ensemble guidance from models such as ECMWF and GFS shows modest spread: drier northerly flow supports the lower end, while any increase in cloud cover or southerly advection could lift minima toward 10–12 °C. Historical August climatology places average overnight lows near 12–14 °C, so the cooler signal reflects a transient high-pressure ridge rather than a seasonal shift. With the two leading market outcomes (≤6 °C and ≥16 °C) each near 50 % implied probability, traders are pricing residual model disagreement and the narrow time window before resolution, underscoring how small changes in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed can shift the minimum by several degrees. Updated runs from the National Weather Service equivalents and MeteoSwiss will refine these thresholds ahead of the 24th.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Munich on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Munich on August 24?
16°C or higher 97%
6°C or below 96%
8°C 27%
7°C 27%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 24, 2026
6°C or below
96%
7°C
27%
8°C
27%
9°C
26%
10°C
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
26%
13°C
26%
14°C
26%
15°C
8%
16°C or higher
97%
16°C or higher 97%
6°C or below 96%
8°C 27%
7°C 27%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 24, 2026
6°C or below
$5 KL.
96%
7°C
$0 KL.
27%
8°C
$0 KL.
27%
9°C
$0 KL.
26%
10°C
$0 KL.
26%
11°C
$0 KL.
26%
12°C
$0 KL.
26%
13°C
$0 KL.
26%
14°C
$0 KL.
26%
15°C
$5 KL.
8%
16°C or higher
$5 KL.
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current short-range forecasts position Munich's overnight low on August 24 near 7–9 °C**, driven by clear skies and light winds that favor strong radiational cooling after a daytime high around 22 °C. Ensemble guidance from models such as ECMWF and GFS shows modest spread: drier northerly flow supports the lower end, while any increase in cloud cover or southerly advection could lift minima toward 10–12 °C. Historical August climatology places average overnight lows near 12–14 °C, so the cooler signal reflects a transient high-pressure ridge rather than a seasonal shift. With the two leading market outcomes (≤6 °C and ≥16 °C) each near 50 % implied probability, traders are pricing residual model disagreement and the narrow time window before resolution, underscoring how small changes in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed can shift the minimum by several degrees. Updated runs from the National Weather Service equivalents and MeteoSwiss will refine these thresholds ahead of the 24th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$15Ngày kết thúc
Aug 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current short-range forecasts position Munich's overnight low on August 24 near 7–9 °C**, driven by clear skies and light winds that favor strong radiational cooling after a daytime high around 22 °C. Ensemble guidance from models such as ECMWF and GFS shows modest spread: drier northerly flow supports the lower end, while any increase in cloud cover or southerly advection could lift minima toward 10–12 °C. Historical August climatology places average overnight lows near 12–14 °C, so the cooler signal reflects a transient high-pressure ridge rather than a seasonal shift. With the two leading market outcomes (≤6 °C and ≥16 °C) each near 50 % implied probability, traders are pricing residual model disagreement and the narrow time window before resolution, underscoring how small changes in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed can shift the minimum by several degrees. Updated runs from the National Weather Service equivalents and MeteoSwiss will refine these thresholds ahead of the 24th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$15Ngày kết thúc
Aug 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current short-range forecasts position Munich's overnight low on August 24 near 7–9 °C**, driven by clear skies and light winds that favor strong radiational cooling after a daytime high around 22 °C. Ensemble guidance from models such as ECMWF and GFS shows modest spread: drier northerly flow supports the lower end, while any increase in cloud cover or southerly advection could lift minima toward 10–12 °C. Historical August climatology places average overnight lows near 12–14 °C, so the cooler signal reflects a transient high-pressure ridge rather than a seasonal shift. With the two leading market outcomes (≤6 °C and ≥16 °C) each near 50 % implied probability, traders are pricing residual model disagreement and the narrow time window before resolution, underscoring how small changes in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed can shift the minimum by several degrees. Updated runs from the National Weather Service equivalents and MeteoSwiss will refine these thresholds ahead of the 24th.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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