Recent forecast models from sources like timeanddate and BBC highlight a potential cool night for Munich on August 23 driven by clear skies promoting radiative cooling and a moderating air mass after recent showers, with projected lows around 9–11°C amid typical late-August seasonal decline from peak summer warmth. These conditions, combined with light winds and low humidity, increase the chance of enhanced overnight temperature drops below historical averages near 12–14°C, positioning sub-6°C outcomes as plausible if cooling intensifies. Traders appear to weigh this uncertainty heavily, with market-implied odds reflecting genuine variability in model runs and the narrow resolution window for the daily minimum. Updated guidance from agencies like the German Weather Service could further shift sentiment as the date nears.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Munich on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Munich on August 23?
5°C or below 43%
15°C or higher 42%
6°C 29%
8°C 27%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 23, 2026
5°C or below
43%
6°C
29%
7°C
26%
8°C
27%
9°C
26%
10°C
26%
11°C
22%
12°C
20%
13°C
19%
14°C
4%
15°C or higher
42%
5°C or below 43%
15°C or higher 42%
6°C 29%
8°C 27%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 23, 2026
5°C or below
$0 KL.
43%
6°C
$0 KL.
29%
7°C
$0 KL.
26%
8°C
$0 KL.
27%
9°C
$0 KL.
26%
10°C
$0 KL.
26%
11°C
$0 KL.
22%
12°C
$0 KL.
20%
13°C
$20 KL.
19%
14°C
$5 KL.
4%
15°C or higher
$25 KL.
42%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like timeanddate and BBC highlight a potential cool night for Munich on August 23 driven by clear skies promoting radiative cooling and a moderating air mass after recent showers, with projected lows around 9–11°C amid typical late-August seasonal decline from peak summer warmth. These conditions, combined with light winds and low humidity, increase the chance of enhanced overnight temperature drops below historical averages near 12–14°C, positioning sub-6°C outcomes as plausible if cooling intensifies. Traders appear to weigh this uncertainty heavily, with market-implied odds reflecting genuine variability in model runs and the narrow resolution window for the daily minimum. Updated guidance from agencies like the German Weather Service could further shift sentiment as the date nears.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$50Ngày kết thúc
Aug 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like timeanddate and BBC highlight a potential cool night for Munich on August 23 driven by clear skies promoting radiative cooling and a moderating air mass after recent showers, with projected lows around 9–11°C amid typical late-August seasonal decline from peak summer warmth. These conditions, combined with light winds and low humidity, increase the chance of enhanced overnight temperature drops below historical averages near 12–14°C, positioning sub-6°C outcomes as plausible if cooling intensifies. Traders appear to weigh this uncertainty heavily, with market-implied odds reflecting genuine variability in model runs and the narrow resolution window for the daily minimum. Updated guidance from agencies like the German Weather Service could further shift sentiment as the date nears.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$50Ngày kết thúc
Aug 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like timeanddate and BBC highlight a potential cool night for Munich on August 23 driven by clear skies promoting radiative cooling and a moderating air mass after recent showers, with projected lows around 9–11°C amid typical late-August seasonal decline from peak summer warmth. These conditions, combined with light winds and low humidity, increase the chance of enhanced overnight temperature drops below historical averages near 12–14°C, positioning sub-6°C outcomes as plausible if cooling intensifies. Traders appear to weigh this uncertainty heavily, with market-implied odds reflecting genuine variability in model runs and the narrow resolution window for the daily minimum. Updated guidance from agencies like the German Weather Service could further shift sentiment as the date nears.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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